POST

Post Holdings, Inc.

52
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

POST's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow grew 28%, while its operating margin held steady at 9.6%. At 15x earnings, it's trading below its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

POST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Weak

POST's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

POST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$79.62—
Cheap12x$66.74-16%
Current15x$79.62—
Fair19x$103+29%
Expensive40x$216+171%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

POST's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

POST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect POST's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

POST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$92.53
Downside-19%$64.40

Calculated from the latest close: $79.62 on Nov 12.

POST's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +16% against −19%.

POST Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.82Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $5.21Q2 2024: $5.36Q3 2024: $5.64Q4 2024: $6.07Q1 2025: $5.62Q2 2025: $5.88Q3 2025: $5.51Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.97Q2 2026: $5.47Forward: $7.09
Q3 2023: $4.82Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $5.21Q2 2024: $5.36Q3 2024: $5.64Q4 2024: $6.07Q1 2025: $5.62Q2 2025: $5.88Q3 2025: $5.51Q4 2025: $5.44Q1 2026: $5.97Q2 2026: $5.47Forward: $7.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.09+30%
Q2 2026$5.47-7%
Q1 2026$5.97+6.2%
Q4 2025$5.44-10%
Q3 2025$5.51-2.3%
Q2 2025$5.88+9.7%
Q1 2025$5.62+7.9%
Q4 2024$6.07+31%
Q3 2024$5.64+17%

POST's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.47 over the past year, against $13.86 in late 2022.

POST Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9B
Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $2BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $1.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.9B-1.8%
Q1 2026$2B+4.7%
Q4 2025$2.2B+10%
Q3 2025$2.2B+12%
Q2 2025$2B+1.9%
Q1 2025$2B-2.3%
Q4 2024$2B+0.4%
Q3 2024$2B+3.3%

POST's revenue is growing: $1.9B last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

POST Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $169MQ4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $151MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $131M
Q3 2023: $169MQ4 2023: $94MQ1 2024: $151MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $70MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $119MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $131M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$131.2M+38%
Q1 2026$151M+115%
Q4 2025$119.3M-30%
Q3 2025$151.6M+58%
Q2 2025$94.9M-41%
Q1 2025$70.2M-53%
Q4 2024$171.4M+83%
Q3 2024$96.2M-43%

POST generated $553M in free cash flow over the past year, up 28% from the year before.

POST Total Shares

Q3 2023: 67MQ4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 62MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 51M
Q3 2023: 67MQ4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 62MQ3 2025: 63MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.2%-2.8M shares
1 year-18%-11.1M shares
3 years-25%-17.2M shares
5 years-19%-12.4M shares
Available history-32%-23.8M shares

POST has 51M diluted shares, down 18% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.

POST Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.9xQ4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.3x
Q3 2023: 5.9xQ4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 5.0xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.5xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh
Q3 20244.7xHigh

POST's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.8 years a year ago.

POST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.7Neutral
Stochastic49.3Neutral

POST's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

POST PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricPOSTSector medianRelative
PE15x19x25% below
PE %24186 pts above

POST is trading at 15x earnings, a 25% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

POST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.21.8% above
20 week MA$82.02.9% below
50 week MA$92.714% below
100 week MA$101.321% below
200 week MA$99.420% below

POST has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 20% below its 200-week average.

POST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.8$66.9-8.1%
2021$66.9$71.4+6.7%
2022$71.4$91.1+28%
2023$91.1$88.1-3.3%
2024$88.1$114.5+30%
2025$114.5$101.2-12%
2026 YTD$101.2$79.6-21%

POST has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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