CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over OTLY overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

OTLY

Oatly Group AB

52
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

OTLY trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

OTLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

OTLY's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

OTLY PE Valuation

OTLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over OTLY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

OTLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OTLY's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OTLY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OTLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$12.64
Downside-40%$4.58

Calculated from the latest close: $7.60 on Nov 12.

OTLY trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over OTLY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OTLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.03Q1 2024: $-13.01Q2 2024: $-11.13Q3 2024: $-13.77Q4 2024: $-6.77Q1 2025: $-5.65Q2 2025: $-6.49Q4 2025: $-7.53Q4 2025: $-5.09Q1 2026: $-5.07Q2 2026: $-4.21Q3 2026: $-2.87
Q4 2023: $-14.03Q1 2024: $-13.01Q2 2024: $-11.13Q3 2024: $-13.77Q4 2024: $-6.77Q1 2025: $-5.65Q2 2025: $-6.49Q4 2025: $-7.53Q4 2025: $-5.09Q1 2026: $-5.07Q2 2026: $-4.21Q3 2026: $-2.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.87+$4.66
Q2 2026-$4.21+$2.28
Q1 2026-$5.07+$0.58
Q4 2025-$5.09+$1.68
Q4 2025-$7.53+$6.24
Q2 2025-$6.49+$4.64
Q1 2025-$5.65+$7.36
Q4 2024-$6.77+$7.26

OTLY is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.87 per share over the past year, against $14.03 at its worst in late 2023.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

OTLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $199MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $228MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $199MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $228MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$243.1M+9.1%
Q2 2026$240.1M+15%
Q1 2026$228.3M+16%
Q4 2025$233.8M+9.1%
Q4 2025$222.8M+6.5%
Q2 2025$208.4M+3%
Q1 2025$197.5M-0.8%
Q4 2024$214.3M+5%

OTLY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $243M last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH has the edge over OTLY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OTLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$45MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$23MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$592,000Q3 2026: −$18M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$45MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$23MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$592,000Q3 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18.4M-$13M
Q2 2026-$592K+$4.6M
Q1 2026-$11.7M+$8.8M
Q4 2025-$6.7M+$15.8M
Q4 2025-$5.4M+$21.3M
Q2 2025-$5.2M+$56M
Q1 2025-$20.5M+$24.5M
Q4 2024-$22.5M+$8.7M

OTLY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$37M over the past year, against −$54M the year before.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over OTLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OTLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+457K shares
1 year+6.2%+1.9M shares
3 years+7.5%+2.2M shares
5 years+7.9%+2.3M shares
Available history+7.8%+2.3M shares

OTLY has 32M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over OTLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OTLY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 46.6xQ3 2026: 68.9x
Q2 2024: 46.6xQ3 2026: 68.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202668.9xHigh
Q2 202446.6xHigh

OTLY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

OTLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.0Oversold

OTLY's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

OTLY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

OTLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over OTLY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OTLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.9424% below
20 week MA$11.735% below
50 week MA$11.232% below
100 week MA$12.037% below
200 week MA$19.060% below

OTLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH has the edge over OTLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OTLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$449.2$162.8-64%
2022$162.8$28.4-83%
2023$28.4$23.6-17%
2024$23.6$12.8-46%
2025$12.8$11.1-13%
2026 YTD$11.1$7.60-32%

OTLY has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 32% so far in 2026.

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