OTLY

Oatly Group AB

52
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

OTLY lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now.

OTLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

OTLY's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OTLY PE Valuation

OTLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OTLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OTLY's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

OTLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$12.64
Downside-40%$4.58

Calculated from the latest close: $7.60 on Nov 12.

OTLY's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +66% against −40%.

OTLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-14.03Q1 2024: $-13.01Q2 2024: $-11.13Q3 2024: $-13.77Q4 2024: $-6.77Q1 2025: $-5.65Q2 2025: $-6.49Q4 2025: $-7.53Q4 2025: $-5.09Q1 2026: $-5.07Q2 2026: $-4.21Q3 2026: $-2.87
Q4 2023: $-14.03Q1 2024: $-13.01Q2 2024: $-11.13Q3 2024: $-13.77Q4 2024: $-6.77Q1 2025: $-5.65Q2 2025: $-6.49Q4 2025: $-7.53Q4 2025: $-5.09Q1 2026: $-5.07Q2 2026: $-4.21Q3 2026: $-2.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.87+$4.66
Q2 2026-$4.21+$2.28
Q1 2026-$5.07+$0.58
Q4 2025-$5.09+$1.68
Q4 2025-$7.53+$6.24
Q2 2025-$6.49+$4.64
Q1 2025-$5.65+$7.36
Q4 2024-$6.77+$7.26

OTLY is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.87 per share over the past year, against $14.03 at its worst in late 2023.

OTLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $199MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $228MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $204MQ1 2024: $199MQ2 2024: $202MQ3 2024: $209MQ4 2024: $214MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $208MQ4 2025: $223MQ4 2025: $234MQ1 2026: $228MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$243.1M+9.1%
Q2 2026$240.1M+15%
Q1 2026$228.3M+16%
Q4 2025$233.8M+9.1%
Q4 2025$222.8M+6.5%
Q2 2025$208.4M+3%
Q1 2025$197.5M-0.8%
Q4 2024$214.3M+5%

OTLY's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $243M last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

OTLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$45MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$23MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$592,000Q3 2026: −$18M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$45MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$27MQ4 2024: −$23MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$12MQ2 2026: −$592,000Q3 2026: −$18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$18.4M-$13M
Q2 2026-$592K+$4.6M
Q1 2026-$11.7M+$8.8M
Q4 2025-$6.7M+$15.8M
Q4 2025-$5.4M+$21.3M
Q2 2025-$5.2M+$56M
Q1 2025-$20.5M+$24.5M
Q4 2024-$22.5M+$8.7M

OTLY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$37M over the past year, against −$54M the year before.

OTLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+457K shares
1 year+6.2%+1.9M shares
3 years+7.5%+2.2M shares
5 years+7.9%+2.3M shares
Available history+7.8%+2.3M shares

OTLY has 32M diluted shares, up 6.2% from a year ago.

OTLY Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 46.6xQ3 2026: 68.9x
Q2 2024: 46.6xQ3 2026: 68.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202668.9xHigh
Q2 202446.6xHigh

OTLY's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OTLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.1Neutral
Stochastic4.0Oversold

OTLY's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

OTLY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

OTLY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OTLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.9424% below
20 week MA$11.735% below
50 week MA$11.232% below
100 week MA$12.037% below
200 week MA$19.060% below

OTLY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

OTLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$449.2$162.8-64%
2022$162.8$28.4-83%
2023$28.4$23.6-17%
2024$23.6$12.8-46%
2025$12.8$11.1-13%
2026 YTD$11.1$7.60-32%

OTLY has finished every year since 2021 lower, and it's down 32% so far in 2026.

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