CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over NATR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NATR

Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc.

51
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

NATR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NATR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NATR's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

NATR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$10.28—
Current13x$10.28—
Cheap15x$12.15+18%
Fair19x$15.43+50%
Expensive33x$27.23+165%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NATR has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over NATR on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NATR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Decline
Decline
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NATR's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NATR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NATR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$12.60
Downside-31%$7.09

Calculated from the latest close: $10.28 on Nov 12.

NATR trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

NATR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.53Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $1.10Q2 2026: $1.01Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $0.83
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.80Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.53Q2 2025: $0.74Q3 2025: $0.81Q4 2025: $1.06Q1 2026: $1.10Q2 2026: $1.01Q3 2026: $0.82Forward: $0.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.83+1.2%
Q3 2026$0.82+1.2%
Q2 2026$1.01+36%
Q1 2026$1.10+108%
Q4 2025$1.06+165%
Q3 2025$0.81-8%
Q2 2025$0.74-7.5%
Q1 2025$0.53-38%
Q4 2024$0.40-48%

NATR has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

NATR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $117M
Q4 2023: $109MQ1 2024: $111MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $118MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $124MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $117M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$116.6M-9.1%
Q2 2026$117M+1.9%
Q1 2026$122.9M+8.5%
Q4 2025$123.8M+4.7%
Q3 2025$128.3M+12%
Q2 2025$114.8M+3.8%
Q1 2025$113.2M+2%
Q4 2024$118.2M+8.5%

NATR's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $117M last quarter, down 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

NATR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.2M-45%
Q2 2026-$1.9M-165%
Q1 2026-$4.3M-389%
Q4 2025$7.6M-24%
Q3 2025$16.8M+113%
Q2 2025$3M+$5M
Q1 2025$1.5M+$3M
Q4 2024$10M+20%

NATR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $11M over the past year.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over NATR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NATR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-467K shares
1 year-0.9%-164K shares
3 years-8.3%-1.6M shares
5 years-12%-2.5M shares
Available history-9.1%-1.8M shares

NATR has 18M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago, with $8M in buybacks over the past year.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

NATR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -2.3xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -2.4xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.5xNet Cash

NATR has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

NATR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI17.8Oversold
Stochastic9.2Oversold

NATR's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

NATR PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricNATRSector medianRelative
PE13x19x36% below
PE %10188 pts below

NATR has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over NATR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NATR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.015% below
20 week MA$15.032% below
50 week MA$20.349% below
100 week MA$17.642% below
200 week MA$16.237% below

NATR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 37% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH has the edge over NATR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NATR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.86$14.6+65%
2021$14.6$18.3+26%
2022$18.3$8.52-54%
2023$8.52$17.3+103%
2024$17.3$15.0-13%
2025$15.0$21.6+44%
2026 YTD$21.6$10.3-52%

NATR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2023 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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