CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over LWAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

LWAY

Lifeway Foods, Inc.

37
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

LWAY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Healthy

LWAY's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over LWAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE196x391x587x782x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE196x391x587x782x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$20.89—
Cheap22x$10.43-50%
Fair29x$14.11-32%
Expensive41x$19.85-5%
Current44x$20.89—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over LWAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

LWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LWAY, with profitability holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LWAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$27.70
Downside-43%$11.90

Calculated from the latest close: $20.89 on Nov 12.

LWAY trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

LWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.11
Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.11+131%
Q3 2026$0.48-35%
Q2 2026$0.69-1.4%
Q1 2026$0.96+43%
Q4 2025$0.89+48%
Q3 2025$0.74-13%
Q2 2025$0.70-21%
Q1 2025$0.67-21%
Q4 2024$0.60-20%

LWAY has the edge over CELH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

LWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$67.8M+19%
Q2 2026$66.9M+24%
Q1 2026$63M+37%
Q4 2025$55.4M+18%
Q3 2025$57.1M+24%
Q2 2025$53.9M+9.7%
Q1 2025$46.1M+3.3%
Q4 2024$46.9M+12%

LWAY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $68M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH has the edge over LWAY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$923,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$923,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.4M-142%
Q2 2026-$8.8M-648%
Q1 2026-$6.7M-$4.3M
Q4 2025-$17.4M-$13.6M
Q3 2025$5.6M-5.5%
Q2 2025$1.6M-69%
Q1 2025-$2.4M-$1.4M
Q4 2024-$3.8M-207%

LWAY has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$35M over the past year, against $989,000 the year before.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

LWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-36K shares
1 year-1.1%-169K shares
3 years+1%+152K shares
5 years-2.5%-398K shares
Available history-3.5%-551K shares

LWAY has 15M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over LWAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LWAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

LWAY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

LWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic13.4Oversold

LWAY's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over LWAY on valuation relative to its sector.

LWAY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricLWAYSector medianRelative
PE44x19x123% above
PE %851867 pts above

LWAY is trading at 44x earnings, a 123% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over LWAY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.94.6% below
20 week MA$25.719% below
50 week MA$24.314% below
100 week MA$24.515% below
200 week MA$18.911% above

LWAY has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 11% above its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

LWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.10$5.84+178%
2021$5.84$4.89-16%
2022$4.89$5.92+21%
2023$5.92$13.4+127%
2024$13.4$23.7+77%
2025$23.7$23.8+0.3%
2026 YTD$23.8$20.9-12%

LWAY has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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