LWAY

Lifeway Foods, Inc.

37
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

LWAY's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 44x earnings, above its usual 30x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

LWAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Healthy

LWAY's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

LWAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE196x391x587x782x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE196x391x587x782x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$20.89—
Cheap22x$10.43-50%
Fair29x$14.11-32%
Expensive41x$19.85-5%
Current44x$20.89—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LWAY's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LWAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LWAY, with profitability holding steady.

LWAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$27.70
Downside-43%$11.90

Calculated from the latest close: $20.89 on Nov 12.

LWAY's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −43% against +33%.

LWAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.11
Q4 2023: $0.75Q1 2024: $0.85Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.85Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.89Q1 2026: $0.96Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.11+131%
Q3 2026$0.48-35%
Q2 2026$0.69-1.4%
Q1 2026$0.96+43%
Q4 2025$0.89+48%
Q3 2025$0.74-13%
Q2 2025$0.70-21%
Q1 2025$0.67-21%
Q4 2024$0.60-20%

LWAY earned $0.48 per share over the past year, down 35% from the year before.

LWAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $46MQ2 2025: $54MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $63MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$67.8M+19%
Q2 2026$66.9M+24%
Q1 2026$63M+37%
Q4 2025$55.4M+18%
Q3 2025$57.1M+24%
Q2 2025$53.9M+9.7%
Q1 2025$46.1M+3.3%
Q4 2024$46.9M+12%

LWAY's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $68M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LWAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$923,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$2M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$923,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: −$17MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$2.4M-142%
Q2 2026-$8.8M-648%
Q1 2026-$6.7M-$4.3M
Q4 2025-$17.4M-$13.6M
Q3 2025$5.6M-5.5%
Q2 2025$1.6M-69%
Q1 2025-$2.4M-$1.4M
Q4 2024-$3.8M-207%

LWAY has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$35M over the past year, against $989,000 the year before.

LWAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-36K shares
1 year-1.1%-169K shares
3 years+1%+152K shares
5 years-2.5%-398K shares
Available history-3.5%-551K shares

LWAY has 15M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

LWAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.6xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -1.3xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.1xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

LWAY's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LWAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic13.4Oversold

LWAY's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

LWAY PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricLWAYSector medianRelative
PE44x19x123% above
PE %851867 pts above

LWAY is trading at 44x earnings, a 123% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

LWAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.94.6% below
20 week MA$25.719% below
50 week MA$24.314% below
100 week MA$24.515% below
200 week MA$18.911% above

LWAY has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 11% above its 200-week average.

LWAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.10$5.84+178%
2021$5.84$4.89-16%
2022$4.89$5.92+21%
2023$5.92$13.4+127%
2024$13.4$23.7+77%
2025$23.7$23.8+0.3%
2026 YTD$23.8$20.9-12%

LWAY has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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