CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over LOPE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

LOPE

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

65
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation74/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

LOPE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LOPE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Unavailable

LOPE's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

LOPE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.9x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$118—
Current13x$118—
Cheap15x$144+22%
Fair19x$174+47%
Expensive22x$202+71%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LOPE has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LOPE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LOPE, with profitability improving.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LOPE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LOPE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$152.30
Downside-11%$104.78

Calculated from the latest close: $117.77 on Nov 12.

LOPE trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

LOPE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.80Q1 2024: $7.15Q2 2024: $7.38Q3 2024: $7.61Q4 2024: $7.73Q1 2025: $7.96Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.71Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.26Q3 2026: $9.35Forward: $10.64
Q4 2023: $6.80Q1 2024: $7.15Q2 2024: $7.38Q3 2024: $7.61Q4 2024: $7.73Q1 2025: $7.96Q2 2025: $8.25Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.71Q1 2026: $7.99Q2 2026: $8.26Q3 2026: $9.35Forward: $10.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.64+14%
Q3 2026$9.35+26%
Q2 2026$8.26+0.1%
Q1 2026$7.99+0.4%
Q4 2025$7.71-0.3%
Q3 2025$7.41-2.6%
Q2 2025$8.25+12%
Q1 2025$7.96+11%
Q4 2024$7.73+14%

LOPE has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

LOPE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $278MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $278MQ1 2024: $275MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $289MQ2 2025: $247MQ3 2025: $261MQ4 2025: $308MQ1 2026: $309MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.3M+2.4%
Q2 2026$264M+6.7%
Q1 2026$308.8M+6.7%
Q4 2025$308.1M+5.3%
Q3 2025$261.1M+9.6%
Q2 2025$247.5M+8.8%
Q1 2025$289.3M+5.3%
Q4 2024$292.6M+5.1%

LOPE's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $267M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

LOPE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$39MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: −$36M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $90MQ3 2024: −$39MQ4 2024: $126MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $115MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $123MQ1 2026: $80MQ2 2026: $98MQ3 2026: −$36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$36M+$22.3M
Q2 2026$97.9M-15%
Q1 2026$80.1M+36%
Q4 2025$122.9M-2.5%
Q3 2025-$58.3M-$19.3M
Q2 2025$115.4M+29%
Q1 2025$58.7M-23%
Q4 2024$126.1M+19%

LOPE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$36M, but it generated $265M over the past year.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

LOPE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 29MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-450K shares
1 year-7.6%-2.1M shares
3 years-14%-4.1M shares
5 years-42%-18.5M shares
Available history-46%-22.3M shares

LOPE has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

LOPE Net Leverage

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

LOPE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.3Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

LOPE's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

LOPE PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricLOPESector medianRelative
PE13x19x35% below
PE %11817 pts below

LOPE has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has the edge over LOPE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LOPE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$146.320% below
20 week MA$147.520% below
50 week MA$156.625% below
100 week MA$170.331% below
200 week MA$149.521% below

LOPE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

LOPE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$97.0$94.9-2.1%
2021$94.9$85.3-10%
2022$85.3$106.1+24%
2023$106.1$132.0+24%
2024$132.0$163.8+24%
2025$163.8$168.3+2.8%
2026 YTD$168.3$117.8-30%

LOPE has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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