LOPE
Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
LOPE's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 13x earnings, below its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
LOPE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
LOPE's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LOPE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $118 | — |
| Current | 13x | $118 | — |
| Cheap | 15x | $144 | +22% |
| Fair | 19x | $174 | +47% |
| Expensive | 22x | $202 | +71% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOPE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.
LOPE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LOPE, with profitability improving.
LOPE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.64 | +14% |
| Q3 2026 | $9.35 | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.26 | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.99 | +0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.71 | -0.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.41 | -2.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.25 | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.96 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.73 | +14% |
LOPE earned $9.35 per share over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
LOPE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.3M | +2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $264M | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $308.8M | +6.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $308.1M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $261.1M | +9.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $247.5M | +8.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $289.3M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $292.6M | +5.1% |
LOPE's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $267M last quarter, up 2.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 31% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | -1 points |
LOPE's operating margin was 19% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LOPE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$36M | +$22.3M |
| Q2 2026 | $97.9M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | $80.1M | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $122.9M | -2.5% |
| Q3 2025 | -$58.3M | -$19.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $115.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $58.7M | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $126.1M | +19% |
LOPE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$36M, but it generated $265M over the past year.
LOPE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.7% | -450K shares |
| 1 year | -7.6% | -2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -4.1M shares |
| 5 years | -42% | -18.5M shares |
| Available history | -46% | -22.3M shares |
LOPE has 26M diluted shares, down 7.6% from a year ago, with $378M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $75.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $75.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $127.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $39.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $47.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $77.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $64.8M |
LOPE spent $378M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 65% from the year before.
LOPE Net Leverage
LOPE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.7 | Oversold |
LOPE's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
LOPE PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | LOPE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 19x | 35% below |
| PE % | 1 | 18 | 17 pts below |
LOPE is trading at 13x earnings, a 35% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.
LOPE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $146.3 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $147.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $156.6 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $170.3 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $149.5 | 21% below |
LOPE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.
LOPE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $97.0 | $94.9 | -2.1% |
| 2021 | $94.9 | $85.3 | -10% |
| 2022 | $85.3 | $106.1 | +24% |
| 2023 | $106.1 | $132.0 | +24% |
| 2024 | $132.0 | $163.8 | +24% |
| 2025 | $163.8 | $168.3 | +2.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $168.3 | $117.8 | -30% |
LOPE is down 30% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.