CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over GO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

50
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

GO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

GO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Stable
Under pressure

GO's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.

GO PE Valuation

GO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over GO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

GO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$19.47
Downside-33%$8.60

Calculated from the latest close: $12.85 on Nov 12.

GO trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH has the edge over GO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-2.30Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.88Q4 2026: $-3.87Forward: $0.64
Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-2.30Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.88Q4 2026: $-3.87Forward: $0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.64—
Q3 2026-$3.87-$3.83
Q2 2026-$3.88-4950%
Q1 2026-$3.89-2388%
Q4 2025-$2.30-675%
Q3 2025-$0.04-108%
Q2 2025$0.08-85%
Q1 2025$0.17-73%
Q4 2024$0.40-49%

GO lost $3.87 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

GO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2BQ4 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2BQ4 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+0.9%
Q2 2026$1.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.6%
Q4 2025$1.2B+11%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.4%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.5%
Q1 2025$1.1B+8.5%
Q4 2024$1.1B+11%

GO's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

GO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$193,000Q3 2026: $1MQ4 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$193,000Q3 2026: $1MQ4 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M+$14.5M
Q2 2026$1.4M-90%
Q1 2026-$193K+$1.3M
Q4 2025$32.5M+$52.1M
Q3 2025-$21.6M-$2.2M
Q2 2025$14.4M+427%
Q1 2025-$1.5M+$36.9M
Q4 2024-$19.6M+$9.2M

GO has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over GO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 100MQ4 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 100MQ4 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+515K shares
1 year+1.6%+1.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-685K shares
5 years+1.1%+1.1M shares
Available history+23%+18.4M shares

GO has 100M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

GO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate
Q3 20242.1xModerate
Q2 20241.9xHealthy
Q1 20241.3xHealthy
Q4 20230.9xVery low

GO's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

GO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.4Neutral
Stochastic75.7Neutral

GO's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

GO PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricGOSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

GO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

GO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.53.2% above
20 week MA$11.413% above
50 week MA$9.8431% above
100 week MA$12.34.3% above
200 week MA$19.032% below

GO has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

GO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$40.4+21%
2021$40.4$28.1-31%
2022$28.1$29.7+5.9%
2023$29.7$27.0-9.3%
2024$27.0$15.5-43%
2025$15.5$10.3-34%
2026 YTD$10.3$12.9+25%

GO has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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