GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

50
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

GO lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover, though they disagree widely on how much.

GO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Stable
Under pressure

GO's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

GO PE Valuation

GO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect GO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$19.47
Downside-33%$8.60

Calculated from the latest close: $12.85 on Nov 12.

GO's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +52% against −33%.

GO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-2.30Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.88Q4 2026: $-3.87Forward: $0.64
Q4 2023: $0.79Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.54Q3 2024: $0.51Q4 2024: $0.40Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-2.30Q2 2026: $-3.89Q3 2026: $-3.88Q4 2026: $-3.87Forward: $0.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.64—
Q3 2026-$3.87-$3.83
Q2 2026-$3.88-4950%
Q1 2026-$3.89-2388%
Q4 2025-$2.30-675%
Q3 2025-$0.04-108%
Q2 2025$0.08-85%
Q1 2025$0.17-73%
Q4 2024$0.40-49%

GO lost $3.87 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

GO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2BQ4 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $990MQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2BQ4 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+0.9%
Q2 2026$1.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$1.2B+3.6%
Q4 2025$1.2B+11%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.4%
Q2 2025$1.2B+4.5%
Q1 2025$1.1B+8.5%
Q4 2024$1.1B+11%

GO's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

GO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$193,000Q3 2026: $1MQ4 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: −$38MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: −$22MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: −$193,000Q3 2026: $1MQ4 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M+$14.5M
Q2 2026$1.4M-90%
Q1 2026-$193K+$1.3M
Q4 2025$32.5M+$52.1M
Q3 2025-$21.6M-$2.2M
Q2 2025$14.4M+427%
Q1 2025-$1.5M+$36.9M
Q4 2024-$19.6M+$9.2M

GO's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $27M over the past year.

GO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 100MQ4 2026: 100M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 99MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 98MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 100MQ4 2026: 100M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+515K shares
1 year+1.6%+1.6M shares
3 years-0.7%-685K shares
5 years+1.1%+1.1M shares
Available history+23%+18.4M shares

GO has 100M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

GO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.5x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate
Q3 20242.1xModerate
Q2 20241.9xHealthy
Q1 20241.3xHealthy
Q4 20230.9xVery low

GO's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

GO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.4Neutral
Stochastic75.7Neutral

GO's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

GO PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricGOSector medianRelative
PEN/A19x—

GO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.53.2% above
20 week MA$11.413% above
50 week MA$9.8431% above
100 week MA$12.34.3% above
200 week MA$19.032% below

GO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 32% below its 200-week average.

GO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.5$40.4+21%
2021$40.4$28.1-31%
2022$28.1$29.7+5.9%
2023$29.7$27.0-9.3%
2024$27.0$15.5-43%
2025$15.5$10.3-34%
2026 YTD$10.3$12.9+25%

GO has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 25% so far in 2026.

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