CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

FRPT

Freshpet, Inc.

73
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

FRPT has a slight edge over CELH overall on the model score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

FRPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FRPT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over FRPT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

FRPT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE408x816x1223x1631x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE408x816x1223x1631x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$55.74-14%
Current25x$64.63—
Forward35x$64.63—
Fair155x$402+523%
Expensive1,025x$2,655+4008%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRPT's PE is in its cheap range at 25x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x, in its fair range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over FRPT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

FRPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRPT, with profitability improving.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FRPT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FRPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$80.66
Downside-29%$45.94

Calculated from the latest close: $64.63 on Nov 12.

FRPT trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

FRPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $2.28Q4 2025: $2.64Q1 2026: $3.81Q2 2026: $3.87Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $1.83
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $2.28Q4 2025: $2.64Q1 2026: $3.81Q2 2026: $3.87Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $1.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.83-29%
Q3 2026$2.59+14%
Q2 2026$3.87+486%
Q1 2026$3.81+1170%
Q4 2025$2.64+184%
Q3 2025$2.28+153%
Q2 2025$0.66+29%
Q1 2025$0.30+58%
Q4 2024$0.93+$1.63

FRPT has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

FRPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $253MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $318M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $253MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $318M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$317.8M+10%
Q2 2026$305.6M+15%
Q1 2026$297.6M+13%
Q4 2025$285.2M+8.6%
Q3 2025$288.8M+14%
Q2 2025$264.7M+13%
Q1 2025$263.2M+18%
Q4 2024$262.7M+22%

FRPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $318M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

FRPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $445,000Q3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $445,000Q3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.8M+20%
Q2 2026$14.7M+3203%
Q1 2026$12.7M+$34.4M
Q4 2025$2.1M+$10M
Q3 2025$31.6M+43%
Q2 2025$445K+$6.4M
Q1 2025-$21.7M+$19.4M
Q4 2024-$7.9M+$32.6M

FRPT has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.

FRPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.1M shares
1 year-2%-1.1M shares
3 years+14%+6.5M shares
5 years+32%+13.1M shares
Available history+52%+18.8M shares

FRPT has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has more cash than debt.

FRPT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.5xNet Cash

FRPT has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

FRPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.5Neutral
Stochastic45.0Neutral

FRPT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

FRPT PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricFRPTSector medianRelative
PE25x19x28% above
PE %22184 pts above

FRPT has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

FRPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.71.5% above
20 week MA$63.71.5% above
50 week MA$63.51.7% above
100 week MA$73.712% below
200 week MA$84.423% below

FRPT has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

FRPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.0$143.3+143%
2021$143.3$93.1-35%
2022$93.1$51.5-45%
2023$51.5$86.8+68%
2024$86.8$146.4+69%
2025$146.4$64.2-56%
2026 YTD$64.2$64.6+0.7%

FRPT has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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