FRPT

Freshpet, Inc.

73
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

FRPT's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 4 points to 8.8% and free cash flow grew more than tenfold. Its PE of 25x looks cheaper than it really is, because one-off gains boosted its recent earnings. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

FRPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FRPT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

FRPT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE408x816x1223x1631x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE408x816x1223x1631x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$55.74-14%
Current25x$64.63—
Forward35x$64.63—
Fair155x$402+523%
Expensive1,025x$2,655+4008%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FRPT's PE is in its cheap range at 25x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x, in its fair range.

FRPT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for FRPT, with profitability improving.

FRPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$80.66
Downside-29%$45.94

Calculated from the latest close: $64.63 on Nov 12.

FRPT's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +25% against −29%.

FRPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $2.28Q4 2025: $2.64Q1 2026: $3.81Q2 2026: $3.87Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $1.83
Q4 2023: $-0.70Q1 2024: $0.19Q2 2024: $0.51Q3 2024: $0.90Q4 2024: $0.93Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.66Q3 2025: $2.28Q4 2025: $2.64Q1 2026: $3.81Q2 2026: $3.87Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $1.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.83-29%
Q3 2026$2.59+14%
Q2 2026$3.87+486%
Q1 2026$3.81+1170%
Q4 2025$2.64+184%
Q3 2025$2.28+153%
Q2 2025$0.66+29%
Q1 2025$0.30+58%
Q4 2024$0.93+$1.63

FRPT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.59 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FRPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $253MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $318M
Q4 2023: $215MQ1 2024: $224MQ2 2024: $235MQ3 2024: $253MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $265MQ3 2025: $289MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $298MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $318M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$317.8M+10%
Q2 2026$305.6M+15%
Q1 2026$297.6M+13%
Q4 2025$285.2M+8.6%
Q3 2025$288.8M+14%
Q2 2025$264.7M+13%
Q1 2025$263.2M+18%
Q4 2024$262.7M+22%

FRPT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $318M last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

FRPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $445,000Q3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$40MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$22MQ2 2025: $445,000Q3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $13MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.8M+20%
Q2 2026$14.7M+3203%
Q1 2026$12.7M+$34.4M
Q4 2025$2.1M+$10M
Q3 2025$31.6M+43%
Q2 2025$445K+$6.4M
Q1 2025-$21.7M+$19.4M
Q4 2024-$7.9M+$32.6M

FRPT has burned cash in most quarters: $67M over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

FRPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 56MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.1M shares
1 year-2%-1.1M shares
3 years+14%+6.5M shares
5 years+32%+13.1M shares
Available history+52%+18.8M shares

FRPT has 55M diluted shares, down 2% from a year ago.

FRPT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -5.3xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.6xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.7xQ1 2026: -2.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.5xNet Cash

FRPT has more cash than debt.

FRPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.5Neutral
Stochastic45.0Neutral

FRPT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

FRPT PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricFRPTSector medianRelative
PE25x19x28% above
PE %22184 pts above

FRPT is trading at 25x earnings, a 28% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

FRPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$63.71.5% above
20 week MA$63.71.5% above
50 week MA$63.51.7% above
100 week MA$73.712% below
200 week MA$84.423% below

FRPT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.

FRPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.0$143.3+143%
2021$143.3$93.1-35%
2022$93.1$51.5-45%
2023$51.5$86.8+68%
2024$86.8$146.4+69%
2025$146.4$64.2-56%
2026 YTD$64.2$64.6+0.7%

FRPT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +143% in 2020 to −56% in 2025. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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