CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over ELF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ELF

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

68
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ELF has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

ELF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

ELF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over ELF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ELF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$114—
Cheap55x$79.99-30%
Fair76x$111-2.5%
Current78x$114—
Expensive122x$177+55%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ELF's PE is in its fair range at 78x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CELH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ELF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ELF, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH trails ELF on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

ELF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$200.18
Downside-24%$85.92

Calculated from the latest close: $113.53 on Nov 12.

ELF has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CELH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

ELF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $0.46Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $1.45Forward: $3.32
Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $0.46Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $1.45Forward: $3.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.32+129%
Q3 2026$1.45+2.1%
Q2 2026$1.00-41%
Q1 2026$0.46-76%
Q4 2025$1.77+4.7%
Q3 2025$1.42-23%
Q2 2025$1.70-19%
Q1 2025$1.93-13%
Q4 2024$1.69-25%

ELF has the edge over CELH on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ELF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $271MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $490MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $521M
Q4 2023: $271MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $490MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $521M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.8M+51%
Q2 2026$479.4M+36%
Q1 2026$449.3M+35%
Q4 2025$489.5M+38%
Q3 2025$343.9M+14%
Q2 2025$353.7M+9%
Q1 2025$332.6M+3.6%
Q4 2024$355.3M+31%

ELF's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $521M last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

ELF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $495,000Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $110MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $495,000Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $110MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.1M-27%
Q2 2026$110.2M+447%
Q1 2026$100.6M-20%
Q4 2025$52.8M+$72.5M
Q3 2025$16.6M+74%
Q2 2025$20.1M+3968%
Q1 2025$125M+264%
Q4 2024-$19.8M+$1.9M

ELF has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over ELF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ELF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+362K shares
1 year+0.8%+495K shares
3 years+4.6%+2.7M shares
5 years+12%+6.5M shares
Available history+18%+9.1M shares

ELF has 60M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago, despite $100M in buybacks over the past year.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over ELF on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ELF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

ELF's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

ELF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

ELF's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over ELF on valuation relative to its sector.

ELF PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricELFSector medianRelative
PE78x19x302% above
PE %521834 pts above

ELF is trading at 78x earnings, a 302% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

ELF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$110.32.9% above
20 week MA$98.415% above
50 week MA$83.037% above
100 week MA$92.123% above
200 week MA$111.61.7% above

ELF has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

ELF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$23.3+46%
2021$23.3$31.6+35%
2022$31.6$54.5+72%
2023$54.5$144.3+165%
2024$144.3$127.8-11%
2025$127.8$80.4-37%
2026 YTD$80.4$113.5+41%

ELF has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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