ELF

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.

68
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ELF's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 40% and free cash flow grew 94%. At 78x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue, though they disagree widely on how much.

ELF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

ELF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ELF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE144x287x431x574x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$114—
Cheap55x$79.99-30%
Fair76x$111-2.5%
Current78x$114—
Expensive122x$177+55%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ELF's PE is in its fair range at 78x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ELF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ELF, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ELF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$200.18
Downside-24%$85.92

Calculated from the latest close: $113.53 on Nov 12.

ELF's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +76% against −24%.

ELF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $0.46Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $1.45Forward: $3.32
Q4 2023: $2.26Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.93Q2 2025: $1.70Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.77Q1 2026: $0.46Q2 2026: $1.00Q3 2026: $1.45Forward: $3.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.32+129%
Q3 2026$1.45+2.1%
Q2 2026$1.00-41%
Q1 2026$0.46-76%
Q4 2025$1.77+4.7%
Q3 2025$1.42-23%
Q2 2025$1.70-19%
Q1 2025$1.93-13%
Q4 2024$1.69-25%

ELF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.45 over the past year, against $2.26 in late 2023.

ELF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $271MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $490MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $521M
Q4 2023: $271MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $324MQ3 2024: $301MQ4 2024: $355MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $354MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $490MQ1 2026: $449MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $521M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.8M+51%
Q2 2026$479.4M+36%
Q1 2026$449.3M+35%
Q4 2025$489.5M+38%
Q3 2025$343.9M+14%
Q2 2025$353.7M+9%
Q1 2025$332.6M+3.6%
Q4 2024$355.3M+31%

ELF's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $521M last quarter, up 51% from the same quarter a year ago.

ELF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $495,000Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $110MQ3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $495,000Q3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: $101MQ2 2026: $110MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.1M-27%
Q2 2026$110.2M+447%
Q1 2026$100.6M-20%
Q4 2025$52.8M+$72.5M
Q3 2025$16.6M+74%
Q2 2025$20.1M+3968%
Q1 2025$125M+264%
Q4 2024-$19.8M+$1.9M

ELF generated $276M in free cash flow over the past year, up 94% from the year before.

ELF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+362K shares
1 year+0.8%+495K shares
3 years+4.6%+2.7M shares
5 years+12%+6.5M shares
Available history+18%+9.1M shares

ELF has 60M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago, despite $100M in buybacks over the past year.

ELF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

ELF's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

ELF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

ELF's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

ELF PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricELFSector medianRelative
PE78x19x302% above
PE %521834 pts above

ELF is trading at 78x earnings, a 302% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

ELF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$110.32.9% above
20 week MA$98.415% above
50 week MA$83.037% above
100 week MA$92.123% above
200 week MA$111.61.7% above

ELF has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 1.7% above its 200-week average.

ELF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.0$23.3+46%
2021$23.3$31.6+35%
2022$31.6$54.5+72%
2023$54.5$144.3+165%
2024$144.3$127.8-11%
2025$127.8$80.4-37%
2026 YTD$80.4$113.5+41%

ELF has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 41% so far in 2026.

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