CDW

CDW Corporation

63
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over CDW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

CDW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CDW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x26x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$173—
Cheap19x$166-4.2%
Current20x$173—
Fair24x$205+19%
Expensive28x$243+41%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CDW's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over CDW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CDW, with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

CDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$212.39
Downside-21%$136.29

Calculated from the latest close: $172.79 on Nov 12.

CDW trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CDW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.10Q1 2024: $8.01Q2 2024: $8.16Q3 2024: $8.18Q4 2024: $7.97Q1 2025: $8.07Q2 2025: $8.05Q3 2025: $7.92Q4 2025: $8.08Q1 2026: $8.21Q2 2026: $8.31Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $12.14
Q4 2023: $8.10Q1 2024: $8.01Q2 2024: $8.16Q3 2024: $8.18Q4 2024: $7.97Q1 2025: $8.07Q2 2025: $8.05Q3 2025: $7.92Q4 2025: $8.08Q1 2026: $8.21Q2 2026: $8.31Q3 2026: $8.56Forward: $12.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.14+42%
Q3 2026$8.56+8.1%
Q2 2026$8.31+3.2%
Q1 2026$8.21+1.7%
Q4 2025$8.08+1.4%
Q3 2025$7.92-3.2%
Q2 2025$8.05-1.3%
Q1 2025$8.07+0.7%
Q4 2024$7.97-1.6%

CDW earned $8.56 per share over the past year, up 8.1% from the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over CDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.5BQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.7BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $4.9BQ2 2024: $5.4BQ3 2024: $5.5BQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $5.7BQ4 2025: $5.5BQ1 2026: $5.7BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.8B+18%
Q2 2026$6.6B+10%
Q1 2026$5.7B+9.2%
Q4 2025$5.5B+6.3%
Q3 2025$5.7B+4%
Q2 2025$6B+10%
Q1 2025$5.2B+6.7%
Q4 2024$5.2B+3.3%

CDW's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $6.8B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over CDW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $503MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $317MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $396MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: −$83MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $503MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $317MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $133MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $396MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: −$83MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$372M+25%
Q2 2026-$82.6M-162%
Q1 2026$248.4M-4.6%
Q4 2025$395.9M+25%
Q3 2025$298.5M-3.2%
Q2 2025$133.4M+12%
Q1 2025$260.3M-37%
Q4 2024$316.7M-37%

CDW has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

CDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 126M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 135MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 134MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 132MQ4 2025: 132MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 127MQ3 2026: 126M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.7M shares
1 year-4.6%-6.1M shares
3 years-7.5%-10.2M shares
5 years-9.8%-13.7M shares
Available history-15%-22.1M shares

CDW has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CDW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

CDW's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over CDW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic81.9Overbought

CDW's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CDW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCDWSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %193516 pts below

CDW has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$151.314% above
20 week MA$145.819% above
50 week MA$135.128% above
100 week MA$152.114% above
200 week MA$180.94.5% below

CDW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 4.5% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

CDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$144.0$129.2-10%
2021$129.2$202.8+57%
2022$202.8$178.1-12%
2023$178.1$227.3+28%
2024$227.3$175.8-23%
2025$175.8$139.7-21%
2026 YTD$139.7$172.8+24%

CDW has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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