CCS

Century Communities, Inc.

19
Fundamentals30/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential16/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

CCS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over CCS overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CCS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

CCS's profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CCS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.2x8.4x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$15.75-70%
Fair8x$29.98-42%
Expensive11x$39.91-23%
Current14x$51.92—
Forward27x$51.92—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCS's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 27x next year's earnings.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CCS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CCS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CCS's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CCS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$58.06
Downside-62%$19.73

Calculated from the latest close: $51.92 on Nov 12.

CCS trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CCS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.05Q1 2024: $9.01Q2 2024: $10.02Q3 2024: $10.03Q4 2024: $10.40Q1 2025: $9.66Q2 2025: $8.19Q3 2025: $6.85Q4 2025: $4.86Q1 2026: $4.44Q2 2026: $4.56Q3 2026: $3.75Forward: $1.89
Q4 2023: $8.05Q1 2024: $9.01Q2 2024: $10.02Q3 2024: $10.03Q4 2024: $10.40Q1 2025: $9.66Q2 2025: $8.19Q3 2025: $6.85Q4 2025: $4.86Q1 2026: $4.44Q2 2026: $4.56Q3 2026: $3.75Forward: $1.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.89-50%
Q3 2026$3.75-45%
Q2 2026$4.56-44%
Q1 2026$4.44-54%
Q4 2025$4.86-53%
Q3 2025$6.85-32%
Q2 2025$8.19-18%
Q1 2025$9.66+7.2%
Q4 2024$10.40+29%

CCS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.75 over the past year, against $18.20 in late 2022.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CCS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $949MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $903MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $980MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $790MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $864M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $949MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $903MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $980MQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $790MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $864M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$864.5M-12%
Q2 2026$927.2M-7.3%
Q1 2026$789.7M-13%
Q4 2025$1.2B-3.1%
Q3 2025$980.3M-14%
Q2 2025$1B-3.7%
Q1 2025$903.2M-4.8%
Q4 2024$1.3B+5.6%

CCS's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $864M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE has the edge over CCS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$20MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: −$118MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $291MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: −$142M
Q4 2023: −$20MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: −$118MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $291MQ1 2025: −$40MQ2 2025: −$18MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $203MQ1 2026: −$57MQ2 2026: −$90MQ3 2026: −$142M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$142.4M-$121.6M
Q2 2026-$89.6M-$72.1M
Q1 2026-$57.1M-$17.1M
Q4 2025$202.6M-30%
Q3 2025-$20.8M+$81.1M
Q2 2025-$17.6M+$100.1M
Q1 2025-$40M-355%
Q4 2024$290.6M+$310.6M

CCS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$87M over the past year, against $212M the year before.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over CCS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CCS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 31MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 28M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-177K shares
1 year-5.1%-1.5M shares
3 years-12%-3.8M shares
5 years-17%-6M shares
Available history-8.7%-2.7M shares

CCS has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CCS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 1.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

CCS's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over CCS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CCS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.0Neutral
Stochastic12.1Oversold

CCS's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CCS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCCSSector medianRelative
PE14x18x23% below
PE %954748 pts above

CCS has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CCS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.37.8% below
20 week MA$62.717% below
50 week MA$61.816% below
100 week MA$62.717% below
200 week MA$70.927% below

CCS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over CCS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CCS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.3$47.5+74%
2021$47.5$79.5+67%
2022$79.5$51.4-35%
2023$51.4$91.1+77%
2024$91.1$73.6-19%
2025$73.6$59.0-20%
2026 YTD$59.0$51.9-12%

CCS has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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