CCS
Century Communities, Inc.
CCS's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 8.1x. Its downside scenario is about five times its upside.
CCS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
CCS's profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
CCS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.2x | $15.75 | -70% |
| Fair | 8x | $29.98 | -42% |
| Expensive | 11x | $39.91 | -23% |
| Current | 14x | $51.92 | — |
| Forward | 27x | $51.92 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CCS's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 27x next year's earnings.
CCS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CCS's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
CCS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.89 | -50% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.75 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.56 | -44% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.44 | -54% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.86 | -53% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.85 | -32% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.19 | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.66 | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.40 | +29% |
CCS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.75 over the past year, against $18.20 in late 2022.
CCS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $864.5M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $927.2M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $789.7M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $980.3M | -14% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | -3.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $903.2M | -4.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +5.6% |
CCS's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $864M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.8% | -3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.3% | +0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8% | -6.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9% | -4.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.7% | -5.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.8% | -3.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +0.2 points |
CCS's operating margin was 1.8% last quarter, down 3 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CCS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$142.4M | -$121.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$89.6M | -$72.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$57.1M | -$17.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $202.6M | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | -$20.8M | +$81.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$17.6M | +$100.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$40M | -355% |
| Q4 2024 | $290.6M | +$310.6M |
CCS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$87M over the past year, against $212M the year before.
CCS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -177K shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -1.5M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -3.8M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -6M shares |
| Available history | -8.7% | -2.7M shares |
CCS has 28M diluted shares, down 5.1% from a year ago, with $91M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $40M |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $20M |
| Q2 2025 | $48M |
| Q1 2025 | $55.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $30.7M |
CCS spent $91M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 41% from the year before.
CCS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
CCS's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
CCS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.1 | Oversold |
CCS's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
CCS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CCS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 18x | 23% below |
| PE % | 95 | 47 | 48 pts above |
CCS is trading at 14x earnings, a 23% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CCS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.3 | 7.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $62.7 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $61.8 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.7 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $70.9 | 27% below |
CCS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.
CCS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.3 | $47.5 | +74% |
| 2021 | $47.5 | $79.5 | +67% |
| 2022 | $79.5 | $51.4 | -35% |
| 2023 | $51.4 | $91.1 | +77% |
| 2024 | $91.1 | $73.6 | -19% |
| 2025 | $73.6 | $59.0 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $59.0 | $51.9 | -12% |
CCS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.