CCNE

CNB Financial Corporation

62
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CCNE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over CCNE overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CCNE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CCNE's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CCNE.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CCNE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$22.90-36%
Fair9.4x$31.75-11%
Forward9.8x$35.64—
Current11x$35.64—
Expensive12x$41.88+17%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CCNE has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CCNE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCNE, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

CCNE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$44.27
Downside-13%$30.95

Calculated from the latest close: $35.64 on Nov 12.

CCNE trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCNE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CCNE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $2.37Q2 2024: $2.32Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.99Q1 2026: $2.37Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $3.36Forward: $3.64
Q4 2023: $2.55Q1 2024: $2.37Q2 2024: $2.32Q3 2024: $2.33Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.34Q2 2025: $2.39Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.99Q1 2026: $2.37Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $3.36Forward: $3.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.64+8.2%
Q3 2026$3.36+68%
Q2 2026$2.67+12%
Q1 2026$2.37+1.3%
Q4 2025$1.99-17%
Q3 2025$2.00-14%
Q2 2025$2.39+3%
Q1 2025$2.34-1.3%
Q4 2024$2.39-6.3%

CCNE earned $3.36 per share over the past year, up 68% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CCNE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCNE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $88M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $61MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $83MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $88M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$87.8M+13%
Q2 2026$87.6M+43%
Q1 2026$83.3M+46%
Q4 2025$86.4M+45%
Q3 2025$77.7M+33%
Q2 2025$61.2M+12%
Q1 2025$56.9M+5.1%
Q4 2024$59.4M+4.5%

CCNE has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CCNE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.6M-26%
Q2 2026$36M+101%
Q1 2026$18.8M+91%
Q4 2025$26M+38%
Q3 2025$4.9M-78%
Q2 2025$17.9M+332%
Q1 2025$9.9M-1.4%
Q4 2024$18.8M+19%

CCNE has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CCNE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 21MQ1 2024: 21MQ2 2024: 21MQ3 2024: 21MQ4 2024: 21MQ1 2025: 21MQ2 2025: 21MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+41K shares
1 year+8.3%+2.3M shares
3 years+41%+8.6M shares
5 years+75%+12.7M shares
Available history+95%+14.4M shares

CCNE has 30M diluted shares, up 8.3% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over CCNE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CCNE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -5.8xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -5.8xQ2 2025: -4.5xQ3 2025: -2.5xQ4 2025: -3.0xQ1 2026: -3.1xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

CCNE has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CCNE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.7Neutral
Stochastic66.7Neutral

CCNE's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 67 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CCNE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCCNESector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %71638 pts above

CCNE has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CCNE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.72.6% above
20 week MA$34.53.3% above
50 week MA$31.314% above
100 week MA$27.629% above
200 week MA$24.347% above

CCNE has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

CCNE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.8$20.9-36%
2021$20.9$26.7+28%
2022$26.7$24.1-9.7%
2023$24.1$22.6-6.3%
2024$22.6$24.9+10%
2025$24.9$26.8+7.7%
2026 YTD$26.8$35.6+33%

CCNE has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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