CCB

Coastal Financial Corporation

48
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

CCB offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over CCB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

CCB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

CCB's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CCB.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CCB PE Valuation

CCB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CCB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CCB, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

CCB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$69.79
Downside-38%$26.90

Calculated from the latest close: $43.24 on Nov 12.

CCB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CCB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CCB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.86Q2 2024: $2.75Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.26Q1 2025: $3.39Q2 2025: $3.26Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $3.21Q2 2026: $-0.26Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $4.69
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.86Q2 2024: $2.75Q3 2024: $2.97Q4 2024: $3.26Q1 2025: $3.39Q2 2025: $3.26Q3 2025: $3.17Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $3.21Q2 2026: $-0.26Q3 2026: $-0.25Forward: $4.69
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.69—
Q3 2026-$0.25-108%
Q2 2026-$0.26-108%
Q1 2026$3.21-5.3%
Q4 2025$3.06-6.1%
Q3 2025$3.17+6.7%
Q2 2025$3.26+19%
Q1 2025$3.39+19%
Q4 2024$3.26-0.3%

CCB has swung to a loss: it lost $0.25 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CCB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CCB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $148MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $124MQ1 2024: $148MQ2 2024: $136MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $146MQ1 2025: $140MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $145MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: $149MQ2 2026: $178MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$149.3M+3.2%
Q2 2026$178.1M+49%
Q1 2026$149.4M+7.1%
Q4 2025$138M-5.8%
Q3 2025$144.7M-5%
Q2 2025$119.4M-12%
Q1 2025$139.5M-5.6%
Q4 2024$146.5M+18%

CCB's revenue is growing: $149M last quarter, up 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over CCB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CCB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: $60MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $65MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $64MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $75MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$39.6M-31%
Q2 2026$74.6M+17%
Q1 2026$74.1M+7.6%
Q4 2025$55.9M-14%
Q3 2025$57.4M-5.8%
Q2 2025$64M-8.5%
Q1 2025$68.9M+15%
Q4 2024$65.3M+36%

CCB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CCB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+174K shares
1 year-0.2%-26.8K shares
3 years+13%+1.7M shares
5 years+24%+3M shares
Available history+26%+3.2M shares

CCB has 15M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over CCB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CCB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.9xVery low

CCB's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CCB.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CCB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic35.0Neutral

CCB's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CCB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCCBSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CCB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CCB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.81.1% above
20 week MA$51.416% below
50 week MA$73.041% below
100 week MA$84.048% below
200 week MA$64.533% below

CCB has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 33% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over CCB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CCB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$21.4+28%
2021$21.4$52.0+144%
2022$52.0$47.6-8.5%
2023$47.6$44.4-6.7%
2024$44.4$83.7+89%
2025$83.7$116.9+40%
2026 YTD$116.9$43.2-63%

CCB is down 63% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over CCB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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