CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

40
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

CBRL's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over CBRL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CBRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CBRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$21.10-67%
Fair21x$29.24-55%
Forward31x$64.86—
Expensive39x$54.48-16%
Current46x$64.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBRL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CBRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CBRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$84.33
Downside-35%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $64.86 on Nov 12.

CBRL trails TSLA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBRL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CBRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+50%
Q3 2026$1.40-32%
Q2 2026$1.15-55%
Q1 2026-$0.19-112%
Q4 2025$0.74-59%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$2.57-5.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-57%
Q4 2024$1.80-54%

CBRL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.40 over the past year, against $10.71 in mid-2021.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

CBRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$849.3M-2.2%
Q2 2026$797.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$874.8M-7.9%
Q4 2025$797.2M-5.7%
Q3 2025$868M-2.9%
Q2 2025$821.1M+0.5%
Q1 2025$949.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$845.1M+2.6%

CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over CBRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M+52%
Q2 2026$66.9M+$80.5M
Q1 2026$24.5M-59%
Q4 2025-$88.9M-$45.6M
Q3 2025$56.8M+157%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-266%
Q1 2025$60M+18%
Q4 2024-$43.3M-$2.8M

CBRL has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

CBRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+45K shares
1 year+0.4%+81.2K shares
3 years+1.3%+280K shares
5 years-5.1%-1.2M shares
Available history-6.5%-1.6M shares

CBRL has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CBRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over CBRL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CBRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCBRLSector medianRelative
PE46x18x157% above
PE %884741 pts above

CBRL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CBRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.73.5% above
20 week MA$57.413% above
50 week MA$42.154% above
100 week MA$45.841% above
200 week MA$59.29.5% above

CBRL has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 9.5% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

CBRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$135.1-13%
2021$135.1$128.1-5.2%
2022$128.1$97.1-24%
2023$97.1$77.1-21%
2024$77.1$56.4-27%
2025$56.4$26.0-54%
2026 YTD$26.0$64.9+150%

CBRL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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