CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

40
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

CBRL's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 46x earnings, more than twice its usual 21x. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

CBRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

CBRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$21.10-67%
Fair21x$29.24-55%
Forward31x$64.86—
Expensive39x$54.48-16%
Current46x$64.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBRL's PE is in its expensive range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

CBRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

CBRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$84.33
Downside-35%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $64.86 on Nov 12.

CBRL's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +30% against −35%.

CBRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+50%
Q3 2026$1.40-32%
Q2 2026$1.15-55%
Q1 2026-$0.19-112%
Q4 2025$0.74-59%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$2.57-5.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-57%
Q4 2024$1.80-54%

CBRL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.40 over the past year, against $10.71 in mid-2021.

CBRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$849.3M-2.2%
Q2 2026$797.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$874.8M-7.9%
Q4 2025$797.2M-5.7%
Q3 2025$868M-2.9%
Q2 2025$821.1M+0.5%
Q1 2025$949.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$845.1M+2.6%

CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CBRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M+52%
Q2 2026$66.9M+$80.5M
Q1 2026$24.5M-59%
Q4 2025-$88.9M-$45.6M
Q3 2025$56.8M+157%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-266%
Q1 2025$60M+18%
Q4 2024-$43.3M-$2.8M

CBRL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $88M over the past year.

CBRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+45K shares
1 year+0.4%+81.2K shares
3 years+1.3%+280K shares
5 years-5.1%-1.2M shares
Available history-6.5%-1.6M shares

CBRL has 23M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CBRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

CBRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCBRLSector medianRelative
PE46x18x157% above
PE %884741 pts above

CBRL is trading at 46x earnings, a 157% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CBRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.73.5% above
20 week MA$57.413% above
50 week MA$42.154% above
100 week MA$45.841% above
200 week MA$59.29.5% above

CBRL has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 9.5% above its 200-week average.

CBRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$135.1-13%
2021$135.1$128.1-5.2%
2022$128.1$97.1-24%
2023$97.1$77.1-21%
2024$77.1$56.4-27%
2025$56.4$26.0-54%
2026 YTD$26.0$64.9+150%

CBRL has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's up 150% so far in 2026.

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