CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

40
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

CBRL's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over CBRL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CBRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CBRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$21.10-67%
Fair21x$29.24-55%
Forward31x$64.86—
Expensive39x$54.48-16%
Current46x$64.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBRL's PE is in its expensive range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over CBRL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CBRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$84.33
Downside-35%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $64.86 on Nov 12.

CBRL trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBRL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CBRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+50%
Q3 2026$1.40-32%
Q2 2026$1.15-55%
Q1 2026-$0.19-112%
Q4 2025$0.74-59%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$2.57-5.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-57%
Q4 2024$1.80-54%

CBRL has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

CBRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$849.3M-2.2%
Q2 2026$797.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$874.8M-7.9%
Q4 2025$797.2M-5.7%
Q3 2025$868M-2.9%
Q2 2025$821.1M+0.5%
Q1 2025$949.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$845.1M+2.6%

CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over CBRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M+52%
Q2 2026$66.9M+$80.5M
Q1 2026$24.5M-59%
Q4 2025-$88.9M-$45.6M
Q3 2025$56.8M+157%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-266%
Q1 2025$60M+18%
Q4 2024-$43.3M-$2.8M

CBRL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $88M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

CBRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+45K shares
1 year+0.4%+81.2K shares
3 years+1.3%+280K shares
5 years-5.1%-1.2M shares
Available history-6.5%-1.6M shares

CBRL has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

CBRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CBRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCBRLSector medianRelative
PE46x18x157% above
PE %884741 pts above

CBRL is trading at 46x earnings, a 157% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.73.5% above
20 week MA$57.413% above
50 week MA$42.154% above
100 week MA$45.841% above
200 week MA$59.29.5% above

CBRL has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

CBRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$135.1-13%
2021$135.1$128.1-5.2%
2022$128.1$97.1-24%
2023$97.1$77.1-21%
2024$77.1$56.4-27%
2025$56.4$26.0-54%
2026 YTD$26.0$64.9+150%

CBRL has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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