CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

40
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

CBRL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over CBRL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CBRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CBRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$21.10-67%
Fair21x$29.24-55%
Forward31x$64.86—
Expensive39x$54.48-16%
Current46x$64.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBRL's PE is in its expensive range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CBRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$84.33
Downside-35%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $64.86 on Nov 12.

CBRL trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBRL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CBRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+50%
Q3 2026$1.40-32%
Q2 2026$1.15-55%
Q1 2026-$0.19-112%
Q4 2025$0.74-59%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$2.57-5.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-57%
Q4 2024$1.80-54%

CBRL has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

CBRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$849.3M-2.2%
Q2 2026$797.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$874.8M-7.9%
Q4 2025$797.2M-5.7%
Q3 2025$868M-2.9%
Q2 2025$821.1M+0.5%
Q1 2025$949.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$845.1M+2.6%

CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CBRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M+52%
Q2 2026$66.9M+$80.5M
Q1 2026$24.5M-59%
Q4 2025-$88.9M-$45.6M
Q3 2025$56.8M+157%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-266%
Q1 2025$60M+18%
Q4 2024-$43.3M-$2.8M

CBRL has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CBRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+45K shares
1 year+0.4%+81.2K shares
3 years+1.3%+280K shares
5 years-5.1%-1.2M shares
Available history-6.5%-1.6M shares

CBRL has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CBRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CBRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCBRLSector medianRelative
PE46x18x157% above
PE %884741 pts above

CBRL is trading at 46x earnings, a 157% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.73.5% above
20 week MA$57.413% above
50 week MA$42.154% above
100 week MA$45.841% above
200 week MA$59.29.5% above

CBRL has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CBRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$135.1-13%
2021$135.1$128.1-5.2%
2022$128.1$97.1-24%
2023$97.1$77.1-21%
2024$77.1$56.4-27%
2025$56.4$26.0-54%
2026 YTD$26.0$64.9+150%

CBRL has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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