CBRL

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.

40
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation9/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

CBRL's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over CBRL overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

CBRL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Stable

CBRL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

CBRL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE157x314x470x627x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$21.10-67%
Fair21x$29.24-55%
Forward31x$64.86—
Expensive39x$54.48-16%
Current46x$64.86—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CBRL's PE is in its expensive range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CBRL to return to profit, with revenue holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CBRL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$84.33
Downside-35%$42.08

Calculated from the latest close: $64.86 on Nov 12.

CBRL trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CBRL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CBRL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $1.83Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $2.57Q3 2025: $2.06Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $-0.19Q2 2026: $1.15Q3 2026: $1.40Forward: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.10+50%
Q3 2026$1.40-32%
Q2 2026$1.15-55%
Q1 2026-$0.19-112%
Q4 2025$0.74-59%
Q3 2025$2.06+13%
Q2 2025$2.57-5.2%
Q1 2025$1.60-57%
Q4 2024$1.80-54%

CBRL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CBRL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
Q4 2023: $824MQ1 2024: $935MQ2 2024: $817MQ3 2024: $894MQ4 2024: $845MQ1 2025: $949MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $868MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $875MQ2 2026: $797MQ3 2026: $849M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$849.3M-2.2%
Q2 2026$797.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$874.8M-7.9%
Q4 2025$797.2M-5.7%
Q3 2025$868M-2.9%
Q2 2025$821.1M+0.5%
Q1 2025$949.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$845.1M+2.6%

CBRL's revenue is shrinking: $849M last quarter, down 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over CBRL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: −$89MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86M+52%
Q2 2026$66.9M+$80.5M
Q1 2026$24.5M-59%
Q4 2025-$88.9M-$45.6M
Q3 2025$56.8M+157%
Q2 2025-$13.6M-266%
Q1 2025$60M+18%
Q4 2024-$43.3M-$2.8M

CBRL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $88M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over CBRL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CBRL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+45K shares
1 year+0.4%+81.2K shares
3 years+1.3%+280K shares
5 years-5.1%-1.2M shares
Available history-6.5%-1.6M shares

CBRL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

CBRL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated

CBRL's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over CBRL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CBRL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.9Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

CBRL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

CBRL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCBRLSector medianRelative
PE46x18x157% above
PE %884741 pts above

CBRL is trading at 46x earnings, a 157% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CBRL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.73.5% above
20 week MA$57.413% above
50 week MA$42.154% above
100 week MA$45.841% above
200 week MA$59.29.5% above

CBRL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

CBRL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.8$135.1-13%
2021$135.1$128.1-5.2%
2022$128.1$97.1-24%
2023$97.1$77.1-21%
2024$77.1$56.4-27%
2025$56.4$26.0-54%
2026 YTD$26.0$64.9+150%

CBRL has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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