CASY
Casey's General Stores, Inc.
CASY has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CASY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
CASY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CASY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $442 | -38% |
| Fair | 24x | $506 | -28% |
| Forward | 32x | $707 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $707 | 0% |
| Current | 34x | $707 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CASY has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CASY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CASY, with profitability holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CASY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.23 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $20.76 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.16 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.42 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.26 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.58 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.64 | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.35 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.35 | +11% |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
CASY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B | +0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.5B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9B | -2.9% |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.1% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2024 | 3.4% | -0.5 points |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CASY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $189.7M | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $207.4M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $75.8M | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $176M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $262.4M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $153.1M | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.7M | +$117.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M | +9.9% |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
CASY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -139K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -210K shares |
| 3 years | -0.8% | -314K shares |
| 5 years | -0.5% | -193K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +6.1K shares |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $63.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $74.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $734,000 |
CASY spent $214M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
CASY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2019 | 2.3x | Moderate |
CASY's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has more cash than debt.
CASY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.7 | Neutral |
CASY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CASY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CASY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 89% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CASY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $665.7 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $738.8 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $717.3 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $596.8 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.9 | 58% above |
CASY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over CASY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CASY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $157.4 | $177.7 | +13% |
| 2021 | $177.7 | $194.6 | +9.5% |
| 2022 | $194.6 | $235.3 | +21% |
| 2023 | $235.3 | $274.7 | +17% |
| 2024 | $274.7 | $404.0 | +47% |
| 2025 | $404.0 | $568.8 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $568.8 | $706.6 | +24% |
CASY has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.