CASY

Casey's General Stores, Inc.

54
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CASY's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 34x earnings, above its usual 24x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CASY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Stable

CASY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

CASY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$442-38%
Fair24x$506-28%
Forward32x$707—
Expensive34x$7070%
Current34x$707—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CASY's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.

CASY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CASY, with profitability holding steady.

CASY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$900.07
Downside-12%$624.19

Calculated from the latest close: $706.63 on Nov 12.

CASY's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +27% against −12%.

CASY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $12.91Q1 2024: $12.57Q2 2024: $13.43Q3 2024: $13.74Q4 2024: $14.35Q1 2025: $14.35Q2 2025: $14.64Q3 2025: $15.58Q4 2025: $16.26Q1 2026: $17.42Q2 2026: $19.16Q3 2026: $20.76Forward: $22.23
Q4 2023: $12.91Q1 2024: $12.57Q2 2024: $13.43Q3 2024: $13.74Q4 2024: $14.35Q1 2025: $14.35Q2 2025: $14.64Q3 2025: $15.58Q4 2025: $16.26Q1 2026: $17.42Q2 2026: $19.16Q3 2026: $20.76Forward: $22.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.23+7.1%
Q3 2026$20.76+33%
Q2 2026$19.16+31%
Q1 2026$17.42+21%
Q4 2025$16.26+13%
Q3 2025$15.58+13%
Q2 2025$14.64+9%
Q1 2025$14.35+14%
Q4 2024$14.35+11%

CASY's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $20.76 over the past year, up 33% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

CASY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $5.7B
Q4 2023: $4.1BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.9BQ1 2025: $3.9BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: $4.5BQ1 2026: $3.9BQ2 2026: $4.6BQ3 2026: $5.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7B+24%
Q2 2026$4.6B+15%
Q1 2026$3.9B+0.3%
Q4 2025$4.5B+14%
Q3 2025$4.6B+11%
Q2 2025$4B+11%
Q1 2025$3.9B+17%
Q4 2024$3.9B-2.9%

CASY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $5.7B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

CASY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $153MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $190M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $160MQ1 2025: $91MQ2 2025: $153MQ3 2025: $262MQ4 2025: $176MQ1 2026: $76MQ2 2026: $207MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$189.7M-28%
Q2 2026$207.4M+35%
Q1 2026$75.8M-16%
Q4 2025$176M+10%
Q3 2025$262.4M+45%
Q2 2025$153.1M+66%
Q1 2025$90.7M+$117.6M
Q4 2024$160M+9.9%

CASY generated $649M in free cash flow over the past year, down 2.6% from the year before.

CASY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 37MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 37MQ2 2026: 37MQ3 2026: 37M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-139K shares
1 year-0.6%-210K shares
3 years-0.8%-314K shares
5 years-0.5%-193K shares
Available history0%+6.1K shares

CASY has 37M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

CASY Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20202.3xModerate
Q4 20192.3xModerate

CASY's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CASY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic37.7Neutral

CASY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

CASY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCASYSector medianRelative
PE34x18x89% above
PE %834736 pts above

CASY is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CASY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$665.76.2% above
20 week MA$738.84.3% below
50 week MA$717.31.5% below
100 week MA$596.818% above
200 week MA$446.958% above

CASY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 58% above its 200-week average.

CASY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$157.4$177.7+13%
2021$177.7$194.6+9.5%
2022$194.6$235.3+21%
2023$235.3$274.7+17%
2024$274.7$404.0+47%
2025$404.0$568.8+41%
2026 YTD$568.8$706.6+24%

CASY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 24% so far in 2026.

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