CASY
Casey's General Stores, Inc.
CASY has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CASY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
CASY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CASY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $442 | -38% |
| Fair | 24x | $506 | -28% |
| Forward | 32x | $707 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $707 | 0% |
| Current | 34x | $707 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CASY's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CASY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CASY, with profitability holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over CASY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
CASY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.23 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $20.76 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.16 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.42 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.26 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.58 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.64 | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.35 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.35 | +11% |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
CASY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B | +0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.5B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9B | -2.9% |
CASY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $5.7B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.1% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2024 | 3.4% | -0.5 points |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over CASY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
CASY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $189.7M | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $207.4M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $75.8M | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $176M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $262.4M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $153.1M | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.7M | +$117.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M | +9.9% |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
CASY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -139K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -210K shares |
| 3 years | -0.8% | -314K shares |
| 5 years | -0.5% | -193K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +6.1K shares |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $63.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $74.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $734,000 |
CASY spent $214M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CASY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2019 | 2.3x | Moderate |
CASY's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CASY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.7 | Neutral |
CASY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
CASY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CASY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 89% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
CASY is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CASY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $665.7 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $738.8 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $717.3 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $596.8 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.9 | 58% above |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
CASY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $157.4 | $177.7 | +13% |
| 2021 | $177.7 | $194.6 | +9.5% |
| 2022 | $194.6 | $235.3 | +21% |
| 2023 | $235.3 | $274.7 | +17% |
| 2024 | $274.7 | $404.0 | +47% |
| 2025 | $404.0 | $568.8 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $568.8 | $706.6 | +24% |
CASY has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.