CASY
Casey's General Stores, Inc.
CASY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has a slight edge over CASY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CASY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
CASY's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CASY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 21x | $442 | -38% |
| Fair | 24x | $506 | -28% |
| Forward | 32x | $707 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $707 | 0% |
| Current | 34x | $707 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CASY's PE is in its expensive range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CASY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CASY, with profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over CASY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
CASY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $22.23 | +7.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $20.76 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.16 | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.42 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $16.26 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.58 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $14.64 | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.35 | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.35 | +11% |
CASY has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CASY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.7B | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.9B | +0.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.5B | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.6B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $4B | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.9B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.9B | -2.9% |
CASY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $5.7B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.1% | 0 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.1% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.1% | +1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 5.8% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2024 | 3.4% | -0.5 points |
CASY has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over CASY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CASY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $189.7M | -28% |
| Q2 2026 | $207.4M | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $75.8M | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $176M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $262.4M | +45% |
| Q2 2025 | $153.1M | +66% |
| Q1 2025 | $90.7M | +$117.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M | +9.9% |
CASY has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
CASY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -139K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -210K shares |
| 3 years | -0.8% | -314K shares |
| 5 years | -0.5% | -193K shares |
| Available history | 0% | +6.1K shares |
CASY has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $63.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $74.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $31.3M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $734,000 |
CASY spent $214M buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CASY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2019 | 2.3x | Moderate |
CASY's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CASY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 37.7 | Neutral |
CASY's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CASY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CASY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 18x | 89% above |
| PE % | 83 | 47 | 36 pts above |
CASY is trading at 34x earnings, a 89% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CASY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $665.7 | 6.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $738.8 | 4.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $717.3 | 1.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $596.8 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $446.9 | 58% above |
CASY has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CASY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $157.4 | $177.7 | +13% |
| 2021 | $177.7 | $194.6 | +9.5% |
| 2022 | $194.6 | $235.3 | +21% |
| 2023 | $235.3 | $274.7 | +17% |
| 2024 | $274.7 | $404.0 | +47% |
| 2025 | $404.0 | $568.8 | +41% |
| 2026 YTD | $568.8 | $706.6 | +24% |
CASY has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.