CART
Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)
CART has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
LCID
Lucid Group, Inc.
LCID offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CART Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CART's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LCID Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CART PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 21x | $58.48 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $43.21 | -26% |
| Fair | 25x | $48.42 | -17% |
| Expensive | 29x | $55.58 | -5% |
| Current | 30x | $58.48 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CART's PE is in its expensive range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LCID PE Valuation
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CART Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CART, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LCID Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CART Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.74 | +42% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.93 | +6% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.84 | +6.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.80 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.60 | +1.3% |
CART has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LCID Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.08 | -$2.57 |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.65 | -$2.35 |
| Q1 2026 | -$13.15 | -$1.25 |
| Q4 2025 | -$12.09 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2025 | -$10.51 | +$2.49 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.30 | +$0.40 |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.90 | +$0.40 |
| Q4 2024 | -$12.50 | +$1.10 |
LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.
CART Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $992M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $939M | +10% |
| Q2 2025 | $914M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $897M | +9.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $883M | +10% |
CART's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $1.1B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.8% | -7.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +12 points |
CART has the edge over LCID on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LCID Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $350.3M | +4.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $405.3M | +56% |
| Q1 2026 | $282.5M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $522.7M | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $336.6M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $259.4M | +29% |
| Q1 2025 | $235M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $234.5M | +49% |
LCID has the edge over CART on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -245% | +35 points |
| Q2 2026 | -267% | +43 points |
| Q1 2026 | -350% | -56 points |
| Q4 2025 | -204% | +109 points |
| Q3 2025 | -280% | +105 points |
| Q2 2025 | -310% | +83 points |
| Q1 2025 | -294% | +128 points |
| Q4 2024 | -313% | +156 points |
LCID's operating margin was −245% last quarter, up 35 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
CART Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $306M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $481M | +157% |
| Q1 2026 | $252M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $171M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $272M | +59% |
| Q2 2025 | $187M | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $280M | +208% |
| Q4 2024 | $141M | -35% |
CART has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LCID Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1B | -$84.2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.5B | -$463.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.4B | -$849M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.2B | -$417.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$955.5M | -$333M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1B | -$271.6M |
| Q1 2025 | -$589.9M | +$125.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$824.8M | -$77.6M |
LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.
CART Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1.3M shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -35.6M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -28.9M shares |
CART has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $238M |
| Q2 2026 | $324M |
| Q1 2026 | $359M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B |
| Q3 2025 | $62M |
| Q2 2025 | $121M |
| Q1 2025 | $89M |
| Q4 2024 | $5M |
CART spent $2B buying back its own shares over the past year, about seven times what it spent the year before.
LCID Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.3% | +12.5M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +82.4M shares |
| 3 years | +73% | +166M shares |
LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CART Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
CART has more cash than debt.
LCID Net Leverage
LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CART Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 78.4 | Neutral |
CART's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
LCID Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 32.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.1 | Oversold |
LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CART PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CART | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 18x | 68% above |
| PE % | 92 | 31 | 61 pts above |
CART is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CART Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.8 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $49.3 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.0 | 33% above |
| 100 week MA | $43.8 | 33% above |
CART has stronger trend alignment. CART is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus LCID above 0 of 5.
LCID Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.53 | 7.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.88 | 33% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.33 | 56% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $31.9 | 90% below |
LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
CART Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $30.0 | $23.5 | -22% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $42.2 | +80% |
| 2025 | $42.2 | $45.9 | +8.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.9 | $58.5 | +28% |
CART has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LCID Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $98.9 | $100.4 | +1.5% |
| 2021 | $100.4 | $376.4 | +275% |
| 2022 | $376.4 | $67.0 | -82% |
| 2023 | $67.0 | $42.1 | -37% |
| 2024 | $42.1 | $32.0 | -24% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $11.4 | -64% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.4 | $3.25 | -72% |
LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.