CART

Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)

63
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

CART's fundamentals are strong: it turned 29% of its revenue into free cash flow and revenue grew 14%. At 30x earnings, it's trading above its usual 25x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CART Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

CART's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CART PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.4x17x25x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$58.48—
Cheap22x$43.21-26%
Fair25x$48.42-17%
Expensive29x$55.58-5%
Current30x$58.48—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CART's PE is in its expensive range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CART Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CART, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CART Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$74.02
Downside-22%$45.49

Calculated from the latest close: $58.48 on Nov 12.

CART's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +27% against −22%.

CART Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.93Forward: $2.74
Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.52Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.82Q4 2025: $1.60Q1 2026: $1.80Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.93Forward: $2.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.74+42%
Q3 2026$1.93+6%
Q2 2026$1.84+6.4%
Q1 2026$1.80+18%
Q4 2025$1.60+1.3%

CART's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.93 over the past year, up 6% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2024.

CART Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $803MQ1 2024: $820MQ2 2024: $823MQ3 2024: $852MQ4 2024: $883MQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $914MQ3 2025: $939MQ4 2025: $992MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $803MQ1 2024: $820MQ2 2024: $823MQ3 2024: $852MQ4 2024: $883MQ1 2025: $897MQ2 2025: $914MQ3 2025: $939MQ4 2025: $992MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+17%
Q2 2026$1B+14%
Q1 2026$1B+14%
Q4 2025$992M+12%
Q3 2025$939M+10%
Q2 2025$914M+11%
Q1 2025$897M+9.4%
Q4 2024$883M+10%

CART's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $1.1B last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

CART Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $481MQ3 2026: $306M
Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $220MQ3 2024: $171MQ4 2024: $141MQ1 2025: $280MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $272MQ4 2025: $171MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $481MQ3 2026: $306M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$306M+13%
Q2 2026$481M+157%
Q1 2026$252M-10%
Q4 2025$171M+21%
Q3 2025$272M+59%
Q2 2025$187M-15%
Q1 2025$280M+208%
Q4 2024$141M-35%

CART generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

CART Total Shares

Q1 2024: 302MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 281MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 277MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 283MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 249MQ3 2026: 248M
Q1 2024: 302MQ2 2024: 286MQ3 2024: 281MQ4 2024: 289MQ1 2025: 277MQ2 2025: 281MQ3 2025: 283MQ4 2025: 280MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 249MQ3 2026: 248M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.3M shares
1 year-13%-35.6M shares
3 years-10%-28.9M shares

CART has 248M diluted shares, down 13% from a year ago, with $2B in buybacks over the past year.

CART Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
Q3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -2.5xQ3 2025: -2.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

CART has more cash than debt.

CART Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.1Neutral
Stochastic78.4Neutral

CART's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

CART PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCARTSector medianRelative
PE30x18x68% above
PE %923161 pts above

CART is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CART Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$51.813% above
20 week MA$49.319% above
50 week MA$44.033% above
100 week MA$43.833% above

CART is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 100-week average.

CART Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$30.0$23.5-22%
2024$23.5$42.2+80%
2025$42.2$45.9+8.6%
2026 YTD$45.9$58.5+28%

CART has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's up 28% so far in 2026.

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