CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
CARR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has the edge over CARR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
CARR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
CARR's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CARR PE Valuation
CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CARR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CARR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.05 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.21 | -149% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.45 | -67% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.53 | -76% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.72 | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.47 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.46 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.33 | +343% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.15 | +289% |
CARR has swung to a loss: it lost $2.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
CARR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.4B | +3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.3B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8B | -6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.6B | -6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.1B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.2B | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1B | +0.9% |
CARR's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $6.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -36% | -46 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8% | -7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | -40 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +3.1 points |
CARR's operating margin was −36% last quarter, down 46 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over CARR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB has the edge over CARR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CARR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $674M | +201% |
| Q2 2026 | $810M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$15M | -104% |
| Q4 2025 | $909M | +$994M |
| Q3 2025 | $224M | +$580M |
| Q2 2025 | $568M | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $420M | +$484M |
| Q4 2024 | -$85M | -110% |
CARR has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
CARR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -14.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.3% | -36.8M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -32.9M shares |
| 5 years | -7.9% | -70.2M shares |
| Available history | -5.1% | -44.4M shares |
CARR has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $399M |
| Q2 2026 | $439M |
| Q1 2026 | $306M |
| Q4 2025 | $479M |
| Q3 2025 | $785M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B |
CARR spent $1.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 59% from the year before.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CARR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 52.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
CARR's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CARR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.0 | Oversold |
CARR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
CARR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CARR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 61% above |
| PE % | 87 | 57 | 30 pts above |
CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.8 | 0.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $59.7 | 9% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.5 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $63.1 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $60.3 | 9.9% below |
CARR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.9% below its 200-week average.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB has the edge over CARR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CARR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.8 | $37.9 | +197% |
| 2021 | $37.9 | $52.8 | +39% |
| 2022 | $52.8 | $41.8 | -21% |
| 2023 | $41.8 | $57.5 | +37% |
| 2024 | $57.5 | $68.9 | +20% |
| 2025 | $68.9 | $53.6 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.6 | $54.4 | +1.5% |
CARR has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.