CARR

Carrier Global Corporation

48
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CARR lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

CARR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Healthy
Weak

CARR's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.

CARR PE Valuation

CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CARR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CARR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CARR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$68.06
Downside-19%$44.11

Calculated from the latest close: $54.37 on Nov 12.

CARR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −19%.

CARR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $3.82Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.47Q4 2025: $1.72Q1 2026: $1.53Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $-2.21Forward: $3.05
Q4 2023: $1.58Q1 2024: $1.43Q2 2024: $3.75Q3 2024: $3.82Q4 2024: $6.15Q1 2025: $6.33Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.47Q4 2025: $1.72Q1 2026: $1.53Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $-2.21Forward: $3.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.05—
Q3 2026-$2.21-149%
Q2 2026$1.45-67%
Q1 2026$1.53-76%
Q4 2025$1.72-72%
Q3 2025$4.47+17%
Q2 2025$4.46+19%
Q1 2025$6.33+343%
Q4 2024$6.15+289%

CARR has swung to a loss: it lost $2.21 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CARR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.3B
Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: $6.2BQ2 2024: $6.7BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $5.2BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $4.8BQ1 2026: $5.3BQ2 2026: $6.4BQ3 2026: $6.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+12%
Q2 2026$6.4B+3.9%
Q1 2026$5.3B+2.4%
Q4 2025$4.8B-6%
Q3 2025$5.6B-6.8%
Q2 2025$6.1B-8.6%
Q1 2025$5.2B-16%
Q4 2024$5.1B+0.9%

CARR's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $6.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CARR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $829MQ1 2024: −$64MQ2 2024: $549MQ3 2024: −$356MQ4 2024: −$85MQ1 2025: $420MQ2 2025: $568MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $909MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $810MQ3 2026: $674M
Q4 2023: $829MQ1 2024: −$64MQ2 2024: $549MQ3 2024: −$356MQ4 2024: −$85MQ1 2025: $420MQ2 2025: $568MQ3 2025: $224MQ4 2025: $909MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: $810MQ3 2026: $674M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$674M+201%
Q2 2026$810M+43%
Q1 2026-$15M-104%
Q4 2025$909M+$994M
Q3 2025$224M+$580M
Q2 2025$568M+3.5%
Q1 2025$420M+$484M
Q4 2024-$85M-110%

CARR generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 111% from the year before.

CARR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 853MQ1 2024: 913MQ2 2024: 915MQ3 2024: 915MQ4 2024: 912MQ1 2025: 878MQ2 2025: 866MQ3 2025: 859MQ4 2025: 862MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 837MQ3 2026: 822M
Q4 2023: 853MQ1 2024: 913MQ2 2024: 915MQ3 2024: 915MQ4 2024: 912MQ1 2025: 878MQ2 2025: 866MQ3 2025: 859MQ4 2025: 862MQ1 2026: 843MQ2 2026: 837MQ3 2026: 822M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-14.7M shares
1 year-4.3%-36.8M shares
3 years-3.8%-32.9M shares
5 years-7.9%-70.2M shares
Available history-5.1%-44.4M shares

CARR has 822M diluted shares, down 4.3% from a year ago, with $1.6B in buybacks over the past year.

CARR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 52.2x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 5.3xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 52.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202652.2xHigh
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20253.0xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

CARR's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

CARR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.6Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

CARR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CARR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCARRSector medianRelative
PE39x24x61% above
PE %875631 pts above

CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CARR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.80.8% below
20 week MA$59.79% below
50 week MA$60.510% below
100 week MA$63.114% below
200 week MA$60.39.9% below

CARR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.9% below its 200-week average.

CARR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.8$37.9+197%
2021$37.9$52.8+39%
2022$52.8$41.8-21%
2023$41.8$57.5+37%
2024$57.5$68.9+20%
2025$68.9$53.6-22%
2026 YTD$53.6$54.4+1.5%

CARR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 1.5% so far in 2026.

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