CARR
Carrier Global Corporation
CARR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over CARR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
CARR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
CARR's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CARR PE Valuation
CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CARR, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CARR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.05 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.21 | -149% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.45 | -67% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.53 | -76% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.72 | -72% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.47 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.46 | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.33 | +343% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.15 | +289% |
CARR has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
CARR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.4B | +3.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.3B | +2.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.8B | -6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.6B | -6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.1B | -8.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.2B | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1B | +0.9% |
CARR's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $6.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -36% | -46 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8% | -7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | -40 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +3.1 points |
CARR's operating margin was −36% last quarter, down 46 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over CARR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW has the edge over CARR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CARR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $674M | +201% |
| Q2 2026 | $810M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$15M | -104% |
| Q4 2025 | $909M | +$994M |
| Q3 2025 | $224M | +$580M |
| Q2 2025 | $568M | +3.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $420M | +$484M |
| Q4 2024 | -$85M | -110% |
CARR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
CARR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -14.7M shares |
| 1 year | -4.3% | -36.8M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -32.9M shares |
| 5 years | -7.9% | -70.2M shares |
| Available history | -5.1% | -44.4M shares |
CARR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $399M |
| Q2 2026 | $439M |
| Q1 2026 | $306M |
| Q4 2025 | $479M |
| Q3 2025 | $785M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B |
CARR spent $1.6B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 59% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CARR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 52.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
CARR's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CARR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.0 | Oversold |
CARR's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
CARR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CARR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 61% above |
| PE % | 87 | 57 | 30 pts above |
CARR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.8 | 0.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $59.7 | 9% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.5 | 10% below |
| 100 week MA | $63.1 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $60.3 | 9.9% below |
CARR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9.9% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
CARR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.8 | $37.9 | +197% |
| 2021 | $37.9 | $52.8 | +39% |
| 2022 | $52.8 | $41.8 | -21% |
| 2023 | $41.8 | $57.5 | +37% |
| 2024 | $57.5 | $68.9 | +20% |
| 2025 | $68.9 | $53.6 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $53.6 | $54.4 | +1.5% |
CARR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 1.5% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over CARR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.