CARG
CarGurus, Inc.
CARG has the edge over NIO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
CARG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
CARG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CARG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $34.27 | — |
| Current | 17x | $34.27 | — |
| Cheap | 24x | $47.19 | +38% |
| Fair | 37x | $74.22 | +117% |
| Expensive | 86x | $171 | +399% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CARG's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CARG, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CARG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.94 | +49% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.98 | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.84 | +47% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.52 | +311% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.55 | +675% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.49 | +$1.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.25 | +$1.74 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.37 | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.20 | +5.3% |
CARG has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CARG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $258.4M | +8.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $251M | +7.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $243.6M | +8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $241.1M | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $238.7M | +3.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $234M | +7% |
| Q1 2025 | $225.2M | +4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $228.5M | +2.4% |
CARG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $258M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 26% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 25% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 49% | +26 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +53 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +8.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 23% | +33 points |
CARG has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CARG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $79.8M | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $94M | +31% |
| Q1 2026 | $69.5M | +5.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.9M | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $69.8M | +52% |
| Q2 2025 | $71.5M | +57% |
| Q1 2025 | $65.6M | +182% |
| Q4 2024 | $65.5M | +$78.5M |
CARG has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
CARG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -955K shares |
| 1 year | -9.6% | -9.6M shares |
| 3 years | -21% | -24.2M shares |
| 5 years | -25% | -29.3M shares |
| Available history | -21% | -23.3M shares |
CARG has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $27.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $174.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $57M |
| Q3 2025 | $110.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $182.8M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
CARG spent $282M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 4.3% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CARG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -9.4x | Net Cash |
CARG has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CARG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 45.4 | Neutral |
CARG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CARG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CARG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17x | 18x | 3.9% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
CARG is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CARG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $31.5 | 8.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $33.9 | 1% above |
| 50 week MA | $33.5 | 2.3% above |
| 100 week MA | $33.5 | 2.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.2 | 21% above |
CARG has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CARG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $35.7 | $33.7 | -5.7% |
| 2021 | $33.7 | $33.6 | -0.4% |
| 2022 | $33.6 | $13.5 | -60% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $24.2 | +79% |
| 2024 | $24.2 | $37.1 | +53% |
| 2025 | $37.1 | $38.6 | +4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.6 | $34.3 | -11% |
CARG has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.