CARG

CarGurus, Inc.

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation86/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

CARG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 17x earnings, about half its usual 38x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CARG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

CARG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

CARG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x167x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x167x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$34.27—
Current17x$34.27—
Cheap24x$47.19+38%
Fair37x$74.22+117%
Expensive86x$171+399%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CARG's PE is in its cheap range at 17x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

CARG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CARG, with profitability improving.

CARG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$49.63
Downside-16%$28.92

Calculated from the latest close: $34.27 on Nov 12.

CARG's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +45% against −16%.

CARG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.29Q2 2024: $-0.49Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $1.25Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $1.55Q1 2026: $1.52Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $2.94
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.29Q2 2024: $-0.49Q3 2024: $-0.45Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $1.25Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $1.55Q1 2026: $1.52Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.98Forward: $2.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.94+49%
Q3 2026$1.98+33%
Q2 2026$1.84+47%
Q1 2026$1.52+311%
Q4 2025$1.55+675%
Q3 2025$1.49+$1.94
Q2 2025$1.25+$1.74
Q1 2025$0.37+28%
Q4 2024$0.20+5.3%

CARG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.98 over the past year, up 33% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

CARG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $219MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $229MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $234MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $244MQ2 2026: $251MQ3 2026: $258M
Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $216MQ2 2024: $219MQ3 2024: $231MQ4 2024: $229MQ1 2025: $225MQ2 2025: $234MQ3 2025: $239MQ4 2025: $241MQ1 2026: $244MQ2 2026: $251MQ3 2026: $258M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$258.4M+8.2%
Q2 2026$251M+7.2%
Q1 2026$243.6M+8.2%
Q4 2025$241.1M+5.5%
Q3 2025$238.7M+3.2%
Q2 2025$234M+7%
Q1 2025$225.2M+4.3%
Q4 2024$228.5M+2.4%

CARG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $258M last quarter, up 8.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

CARG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $70MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $69MQ2 2026: $94MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$79.8M+14%
Q2 2026$94M+31%
Q1 2026$69.5M+5.8%
Q4 2025$81.9M+25%
Q3 2025$69.8M+52%
Q2 2025$71.5M+57%
Q1 2025$65.6M+182%
Q4 2024$65.5M+$78.5M

CARG generated $325M in free cash flow over the past year, up 19% from the year before.

CARG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 109MQ2 2024: 104MQ3 2024: 105MQ4 2024: 106MQ1 2025: 105MQ2 2025: 100MQ3 2025: 100MQ4 2025: 97MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-955K shares
1 year-9.6%-9.6M shares
3 years-21%-24.2M shares
5 years-25%-29.3M shares
Available history-21%-23.3M shares

CARG has 90M diluted shares, down 9.6% from a year ago, with $282M in buybacks over the past year.

CARG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -4.5xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -9.4xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -4.5xQ1 2024: -3.4xQ4 2024: -9.4xQ1 2025: -3.4xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -0.9xQ4 2025: -0.7xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.4xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-9.4xNet Cash

CARG has more cash than debt.

CARG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.1Neutral
Stochastic45.4Neutral

CARG's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

CARG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCARGSector medianRelative
PE17x18x3.9% below
PE %24745 pts below

CARG is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CARG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.58.7% above
20 week MA$33.91% above
50 week MA$33.52.3% above
100 week MA$33.52.3% above
200 week MA$28.221% above

CARG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% above its 200-week average.

CARG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.7$33.7-5.7%
2021$33.7$33.6-0.4%
2022$33.6$13.5-60%
2023$13.5$24.2+79%
2024$24.2$37.1+53%
2025$37.1$38.6+4.2%
2026 YTD$38.6$34.3-11%

CARG has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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