BYD
Boyd Gaming Corporation
BYD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has the edge over BYD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
BYD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable |
BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BYD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6x | $38.85 | -50% |
| Forward | 10x | $77.11 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $71.91 | -6.7% |
| Current | 12x | $77.11 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $105 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BYD has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BYD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BYD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.56 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.43 | -72% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.53 | +248% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.62 | +271% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.56 | +264% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.85 | +334% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.47 | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.10 | +9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.19 | +1.1% |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
BYD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $990.5M | -1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $997.4M | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $991.6M | +3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +9.1% |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | -4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -9.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +8.9 points |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BYD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43.7M | -54% |
| Q2 2026 | -$165.5M | -305% |
| Q1 2026 | -$20.8M | -124% |
| Q4 2025 | $127M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $94.4M | -35% |
| Q2 2025 | $80.6M | -18% |
| Q1 2025 | $86.5M | -46% |
| Q4 2024 | $150.9M | +23% |
BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over BYD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
BYD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.4% | -1.8M shares |
| 1 year | -9.7% | -7.8M shares |
| 3 years | -33% | -36M shares |
| 5 years | -36% | -40.8M shares |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $163.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $156M |
| Q1 2026 | $155M |
| Q4 2025 | $185.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $160M |
| Q2 2025 | $105M |
| Q1 2025 | $328M |
| Q4 2024 | $202.6M |
BYD spent $660M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
BYD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over BYD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BYD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.5 | Neutral |
BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BYD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 18x | 33% below |
| PE % | 61 | 47 | 14 pts above |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BYD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $72.0 | 7.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $78.3 | 1.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $81.9 | 5.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $79.4 | 2.9% below |
| 200 week MA | $71.3 | 8.2% above |
BYD's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 8.2% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over BYD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BYD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.4 | $42.6 | +40% |
| 2021 | $42.6 | $64.7 | +52% |
| 2022 | $64.7 | $55.1 | -15% |
| 2023 | $55.1 | $62.6 | +14% |
| 2024 | $62.6 | $72.4 | +16% |
| 2025 | $72.4 | $86.6 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.6 | $77.1 | -11% |
BYD has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.