BYD

Boyd Gaming Corporation

48
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

BYD's fundamentals are weak: earnings per share fell 72% and its operating margin fell 3 points to 18%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 11x. Its downside scenario is more than ten times its upside.

BYD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BYD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$38.85-50%
Forward10x$77.11—
Fair11x$71.91-6.7%
Current12x$77.11—
Expensive16x$105+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BYD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

BYD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

BYD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$79.66
Downside-67%$25.73

Calculated from the latest close: $77.11 on Nov 12.

BYD's one-year downside scenario is more than ten times its upside: −67% against +3.3%.

BYD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+18%
Q3 2026$6.43-72%
Q2 2026$22.53+248%
Q1 2026$22.62+271%
Q4 2025$22.56+264%
Q3 2025$22.85+334%
Q2 2025$6.47+25%
Q1 2025$6.10+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.19+1.1%

BYD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $6.43 over the past year, against $22.85 in late 2025.

BYD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$990.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$1B0%
Q1 2026$997.4M+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1B+4.5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$991.6M+3.2%
Q4 2024$1B+9.1%

BYD's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $990M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

BYD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M-54%
Q2 2026-$165.5M-305%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-124%
Q4 2025$127M-16%
Q3 2025$94.4M-35%
Q2 2025$80.6M-18%
Q1 2025$86.5M-46%
Q4 2024$150.9M+23%

BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.

BYD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-9.7%-7.8M shares
3 years-33%-36M shares
5 years-36%-40.8M shares

BYD has 73M diluted shares, down 9.7% from a year ago, with $660M in buybacks over the past year.

BYD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

BYD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic47.5Neutral

BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBYDSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %614714 pts above

BYD is trading at 12x earnings, a 33% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BYD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.2% above
20 week MA$78.31.5% below
50 week MA$81.95.9% below
100 week MA$79.42.9% below
200 week MA$71.38.2% above

BYD's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 8.2% above its 200-week average.

BYD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.4$42.6+40%
2021$42.6$64.7+52%
2022$64.7$55.1-15%
2023$55.1$62.6+14%
2024$62.6$72.4+16%
2025$72.4$86.6+20%
2026 YTD$86.6$77.1-11%

BYD has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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