BYD

Boyd Gaming Corporation

48
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

BYD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over BYD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BYD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BYD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$38.85-50%
Forward10x$77.11—
Fair11x$71.91-6.7%
Current12x$77.11—
Expensive16x$105+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BYD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over BYD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BYD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

BYD has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BYD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$79.66
Downside-67%$25.73

Calculated from the latest close: $77.11 on Nov 12.

BYD trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BYD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BYD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+18%
Q3 2026$6.43-72%
Q2 2026$22.53+248%
Q1 2026$22.62+271%
Q4 2025$22.56+264%
Q3 2025$22.85+334%
Q2 2025$6.47+25%
Q1 2025$6.10+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.19+1.1%

BYD has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

BYD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$990.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$1B0%
Q1 2026$997.4M+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1B+4.5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$991.6M+3.2%
Q4 2024$1B+9.1%

BYD has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

BYD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M-54%
Q2 2026-$165.5M-305%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-124%
Q4 2025$127M-16%
Q3 2025$94.4M-35%
Q2 2025$80.6M-18%
Q1 2025$86.5M-46%
Q4 2024$150.9M+23%

BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over BYD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BYD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-9.7%-7.8M shares
3 years-33%-36M shares
5 years-36%-40.8M shares

BYD has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

BYD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over BYD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BYD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic47.5Neutral

BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBYDSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %614714 pts above

BYD has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BYD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.2% above
20 week MA$78.31.5% below
50 week MA$81.95.9% below
100 week MA$79.42.9% below
200 week MA$71.38.2% above

BYD has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

BYD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.4$42.6+40%
2021$42.6$64.7+52%
2022$64.7$55.1-15%
2023$55.1$62.6+14%
2024$62.6$72.4+16%
2025$72.4$86.6+20%
2026 YTD$86.6$77.1-11%

BYD has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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