BYD

Boyd Gaming Corporation

48
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

BYD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over BYD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

BYD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

BYD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$38.85-50%
Forward10x$77.11—
Fair11x$71.91-6.7%
Current12x$77.11—
Expensive16x$105+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BYD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BYD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over BYD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

BYD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$79.66
Downside-67%$25.73

Calculated from the latest close: $77.11 on Nov 12.

BYD trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BYD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BYD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+18%
Q3 2026$6.43-72%
Q2 2026$22.53+248%
Q1 2026$22.62+271%
Q4 2025$22.56+264%
Q3 2025$22.85+334%
Q2 2025$6.47+25%
Q1 2025$6.10+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.19+1.1%

BYD has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

BYD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$990.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$1B0%
Q1 2026$997.4M+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1B+4.5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$991.6M+3.2%
Q4 2024$1B+9.1%

BYD's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $990M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over BYD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BYD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M-54%
Q2 2026-$165.5M-305%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-124%
Q4 2025$127M-16%
Q3 2025$94.4M-35%
Q2 2025$80.6M-18%
Q1 2025$86.5M-46%
Q4 2024$150.9M+23%

BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over BYD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BYD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-9.7%-7.8M shares
3 years-33%-36M shares
5 years-36%-40.8M shares

BYD has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

BYD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

BYD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic47.5Neutral

BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBYDSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %614714 pts above

BYD is trading at 12x earnings, a 33% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BYD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.2% above
20 week MA$78.31.5% below
50 week MA$81.95.9% below
100 week MA$79.42.9% below
200 week MA$71.38.2% above

BYD has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

BYD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.4$42.6+40%
2021$42.6$64.7+52%
2022$64.7$55.1-15%
2023$55.1$62.6+14%
2024$62.6$72.4+16%
2025$72.4$86.6+20%
2026 YTD$86.6$77.1-11%

BYD has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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