BYD

Boyd Gaming Corporation

48
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

BYD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over BYD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BYD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BYD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$38.85-50%
Forward10x$77.11—
Fair11x$71.91-6.7%
Current12x$77.11—
Expensive16x$105+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BYD's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10x, in its cheap range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BYD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over BYD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

BYD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$79.66
Downside-67%$25.73

Calculated from the latest close: $77.11 on Nov 12.

BYD trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BYD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BYD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+18%
Q3 2026$6.43-72%
Q2 2026$22.53+248%
Q1 2026$22.62+271%
Q4 2025$22.56+264%
Q3 2025$22.85+334%
Q2 2025$6.47+25%
Q1 2025$6.10+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.19+1.1%

BYD has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BYD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$990.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$1B0%
Q1 2026$997.4M+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1B+4.5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$991.6M+3.2%
Q4 2024$1B+9.1%

BYD has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BYD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M-54%
Q2 2026-$165.5M-305%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-124%
Q4 2025$127M-16%
Q3 2025$94.4M-35%
Q2 2025$80.6M-18%
Q1 2025$86.5M-46%
Q4 2024$150.9M+23%

BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BYD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BYD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-9.7%-7.8M shares
3 years-33%-36M shares
5 years-36%-40.8M shares

BYD has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BYD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BYD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BYD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic47.5Neutral

BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBYDSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %614714 pts above

BYD is trading at 12x earnings, a 33% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BYD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.2% above
20 week MA$78.31.5% below
50 week MA$81.95.9% below
100 week MA$79.42.9% below
200 week MA$71.38.2% above

BYD has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BYD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.4$42.6+40%
2021$42.6$64.7+52%
2022$64.7$55.1-15%
2023$55.1$62.6+14%
2024$62.6$72.4+16%
2025$72.4$86.6+20%
2026 YTD$86.6$77.1-11%

BYD has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over BYD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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