BYD

Boyd Gaming Corporation

48
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential5/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

BYD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has the edge over BYD overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

BYD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

BYD's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

BYD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE18x35x53x70x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$38.85-50%
Forward10x$77.11—
Fair11x$71.91-6.7%
Current12x$77.11—
Expensive16x$105+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BYD has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BYD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BYD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

BYD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+3%$79.66
Downside-67%$25.73

Calculated from the latest close: $77.11 on Nov 12.

BYD trails EBAY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BYD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BYD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.12Q1 2024: $5.59Q2 2024: $5.17Q3 2024: $5.26Q4 2024: $6.19Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $22.85Q4 2025: $22.56Q1 2026: $22.62Q2 2026: $22.53Q3 2026: $6.43Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+18%
Q3 2026$6.43-72%
Q2 2026$22.53+248%
Q1 2026$22.62+271%
Q4 2025$22.56+264%
Q3 2025$22.85+334%
Q2 2025$6.47+25%
Q1 2025$6.10+9.1%
Q4 2024$6.19+1.1%

BYD has the edge over EBAY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.

BYD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $961MQ2 2024: $968MQ3 2024: $961MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $992MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $990M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$990.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$1B0%
Q1 2026$997.4M+0.6%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1B+4.5%
Q2 2025$1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$991.6M+3.2%
Q4 2024$1B+9.1%

BYD's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $990M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over BYD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BYD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $99MQ3 2024: $146MQ4 2024: $151MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $81MQ3 2025: $94MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: −$21MQ2 2026: −$165MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$43.7M-54%
Q2 2026-$165.5M-305%
Q1 2026-$20.8M-124%
Q4 2025$127M-16%
Q3 2025$94.4M-35%
Q2 2025$80.6M-18%
Q1 2025$86.5M-46%
Q4 2024$150.9M+23%

BYD's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$16M over the past year.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over BYD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

BYD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 85MQ3 2025: 81MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 75MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-1.8M shares
1 year-9.7%-7.8M shares
3 years-33%-36M shares
5 years-36%-40.8M shares

BYD has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

BYD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 1.4xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 2.2xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20251.4xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

BYD's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.4 years a year ago.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY has the edge over BYD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BYD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.4Neutral
Stochastic47.5Neutral

BYD's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

BYD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBYDSector medianRelative
PE12x18x33% below
PE %614714 pts above

BYD has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BYD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.07.2% above
20 week MA$78.31.5% below
50 week MA$81.95.9% below
100 week MA$79.42.9% below
200 week MA$71.38.2% above

BYD's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 8.2% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over BYD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BYD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.4$42.6+40%
2021$42.6$64.7+52%
2022$64.7$55.1-15%
2023$55.1$62.6+14%
2024$62.6$72.4+16%
2025$72.4$86.6+20%
2026 YTD$86.6$77.1-11%

BYD has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over BYD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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