BWIN
The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.
BWIN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM has a slight edge over BWIN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
BWIN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
BWIN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWIN.
JPM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.
BWIN PE Valuation
BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JPM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.7x | $231 | -33% |
| Fair | 12x | $287 | -16% |
| Current | 14x | $343 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $343 | — |
| Expensive | 15x | $361 | +5.2% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.
BWIN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWIN, with profitability improving.
JPM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.
BWIN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.37 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.41 | -$0.98 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.05 | -$0.76 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.68 | -$0.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.50 | -$0.11 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.43 | +$0.22 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.29 | +$0.52 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.52 | +$0.41 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.39 | +$1.11 |
BWIN lost $1.41 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.
JPM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $24.99 | +4.8% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.85 | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.35 | +20% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.89 | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.02 | +1.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.20 | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.50 | +8.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.38 | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $19.75 | +22% |
JPM has the edge over BWIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
BWIN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $480.3M | +31% |
| Q2 2026 | $492.9M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $532.2M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $347.3M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $365.4M | +7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $378.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $413.4M | +8.7% |
BWIN has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -9% | -9.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7% | -9.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | -19% | -33 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.8% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.4% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.7% | N/A |
BWIN's operating margin was −9% last quarter, down 9.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2024.
JPM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $50.2B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.3B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $49.8B | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.8B | +7.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.4B | +8.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.9B | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $45.3B | +8.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $42.8B | +11% |
JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 40% | -0.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 48% | +7.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | -3.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 41% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 41% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 41% | +11 points |
JPM has the edge over BWIN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BWIN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $39.2M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $30.4M | +$58.5M |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.7M | +$54.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$84K | -102% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.2M | +$40.2M |
| Q2 2025 | -$28.1M | -140% |
| Q1 2025 | -$72.9M | -$67.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3M | -71% |
BWIN has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
JPM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.2B | +$78.4B |
| Q2 2026 | -$25.3B | -186% |
| Q1 2026 | -$211.8B | +$40.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $119.7B | -19% |
| Q3 2025 | -$45.2B | +$28.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5B | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | -$251.8B | -$97.7B |
| Q4 2024 | $147.8B | +145% |
JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.
BWIN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +168K shares |
| 1 year | +35% | +24.3M shares |
| 3 years | +53% | +32.4M shares |
| 5 years | +100% | +46.5M shares |
| Available history | +368% | +73.1M shares |
BWIN has 93M diluted shares, up 35% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $79.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $47M |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
JPM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -11.2M shares |
| 1 year | -3.1% | -84.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.5% | -249M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -322M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -547M shares |
JPM has the edge over BWIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B |
| Q2 2026 | $6.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $8.3B |
| Q4 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $8.3B |
| Q2 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.3B |
JPM spent $24.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 11% from the year before.
BWIN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8x | High |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 7.5x | High |
BWIN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWIN.
JPM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
JPM has the edge over BWIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWIN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 86.7 | Overbought |
BWIN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).
JPM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.5 | Neutral |
JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
BWIN PE vs Financial Services Sector
BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | JPM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 10% above |
| PE % | 76 | 63 | 13 pts above |
JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
BWIN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $31.9 | 0.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $30.4 | 5.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $25.4 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $30.9 | 3.6% above |
| 200 week MA | $30.7 | 4.3% above |
BWIN has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
JPM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $336.8 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $345.3 | 0.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $323.2 | 6.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $298.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $236.6 | 45% above |
JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.
BWIN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $15.6 | $30.3 | +94% |
| 2021 | $30.3 | $34.8 | +15% |
| 2022 | $34.8 | $26.0 | -25% |
| 2023 | $26.0 | $24.0 | -7.5% |
| 2024 | $24.0 | $38.8 | +62% |
| 2025 | $38.8 | $25.6 | -34% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.6 | $32.0 | +25% |
BWIN has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
JPM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $139.1 | $124.5 | -11% |
| 2021 | $124.5 | $157.3 | +26% |
| 2022 | $157.3 | $131.3 | -17% |
| 2023 | $131.3 | $170.1 | +30% |
| 2024 | $170.1 | $241.2 | +42% |
| 2025 | $241.2 | $327.9 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $327.9 | $342.8 | +4.5% |
JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.