BWIN

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

57
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

BWIN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve.

BWIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
N/A
N/A

BWIN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWIN.

BWIN PE Valuation

BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWIN, with profitability improving.

BWIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$49.86
Downside-35%$20.74

Calculated from the latest close: $32.04 on Nov 12.

BWIN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +56% against −35%.

BWIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.93Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $2.37
Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.93Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $2.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.37—
Q3 2026-$1.41-$0.98
Q2 2026-$1.05-$0.76
Q1 2026-$0.68-$0.16
Q4 2025-$0.50-$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.43+$0.22
Q2 2025-$0.29+$0.52
Q1 2025-$0.52+$0.41
Q4 2024-$0.39+$1.11

BWIN lost $1.41 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

BWIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $339MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $379MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $339MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $379MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$480.3M+31%
Q2 2026$492.9M+30%
Q1 2026$532.2M+29%
Q4 2025$347.3M+5.3%
Q3 2025$365.4M+7.8%
Q2 2025$378.8M+11%
Q1 2025$413.4M+8.7%

BWIN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2025: $480M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: −$84,000Q1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $39M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: −$84,000Q1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$39.2M+22%
Q2 2026$30.4M+$58.5M
Q1 2026-$18.7M+$54.2M
Q4 2025-$84K-102%
Q3 2025$32.2M+$40.2M
Q2 2025-$28.1M-140%
Q1 2025-$72.9M-$67.7M
Q4 2024$4.3M-71%

BWIN's free cash flow was $51M over the past year, against −$65M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWIN.

BWIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 93M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 93M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+168K shares
1 year+35%+24.3M shares
3 years+53%+32.4M shares
5 years+100%+46.5M shares
Available history+368%+73.1M shares

BWIN has 93M diluted shares, up 35% from a year ago.

BWIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 21.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 7.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 21.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 7.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20257.8xHigh
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20247.5xHigh

BWIN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWIN.

BWIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic86.7Overbought

BWIN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

BWIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.90.4% above
20 week MA$30.45.4% above
50 week MA$25.426% above
100 week MA$30.93.6% above
200 week MA$30.74.3% above

BWIN is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.3% above its 200-week average.

BWIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$30.3+94%
2021$30.3$34.8+15%
2022$34.8$26.0-25%
2023$26.0$24.0-7.5%
2024$24.0$38.8+62%
2025$38.8$25.6-34%
2026 YTD$25.6$32.0+25%

BWIN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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