BWIN

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

57
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

BWIN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

59
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

HOOD has a slight edge over BWIN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BWIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
N/A
N/A

BWIN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BWIN.

HOOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.

BWIN PE Valuation

BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HOOD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x87x130x174x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$81.35—
Cheap37x$78.84-3.1%
Current38x$81.35—
Fair51x$110+35%
Expensive74x$160+96%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HOOD's PE is in its cheap range at 38x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

BWIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for BWIN, with profitability improving.

HOOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for HOOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BWIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$49.86
Downside-35%$20.74

Calculated from the latest close: $32.04 on Nov 12.

BWIN trails HOOD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

HOOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+81%$147.58
Downside-29%$57.66

Calculated from the latest close: $81.35 on Nov 12.

HOOD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BWIN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BWIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.93Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $2.37
Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.93Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.29Q3 2025: $-0.43Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.68Q2 2026: $-1.05Q3 2026: $-1.41Forward: $2.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.37—
Q3 2026-$1.41-$0.98
Q2 2026-$1.05-$0.76
Q1 2026-$0.68-$0.16
Q4 2025-$0.50-$0.11
Q3 2025-$0.43+$0.22
Q2 2025-$0.29+$0.52
Q1 2025-$0.52+$0.41
Q4 2024-$0.39+$1.11

BWIN lost $1.41 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

HOOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
Q4 2023: $-0.61Q1 2024: $0.14Q2 2024: $0.32Q3 2024: $0.58Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.96Q3 2025: $2.40Q4 2025: $2.05Q1 2026: $2.06Q2 2026: $2.26Q3 2026: $2.16Forward: $2.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.72+26%
Q3 2026$2.16-10%
Q2 2026$2.26+15%
Q1 2026$2.06+18%
Q4 2025$2.05+31%
Q3 2025$2.40+314%
Q2 2025$1.96+513%
Q1 2025$1.75+1150%
Q4 2024$1.56+$2.17

HOOD has the edge over BWIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

BWIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $339MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $379MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $380MQ2 2024: $340MQ3 2024: $339MQ4 2024: $330MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $379MQ3 2025: $365MQ4 2025: $347MQ1 2026: $532MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$480.3M+31%
Q2 2026$492.9M+30%
Q1 2026$532.2M+29%
Q4 2025$347.3M+5.3%
Q3 2025$365.4M+7.8%
Q2 2025$378.8M+11%
Q1 2025$413.4M+8.7%

BWIN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2025: $480M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

HOOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $471MQ1 2024: $618MQ2 2024: $682MQ3 2024: $637MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $927MQ2 2025: $989MQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+12%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1.3B+27%
Q3 2025$1.3B+100%
Q2 2025$989M+45%
Q1 2025$927M+50%
Q4 2024$1B+115%

HOOD has the edge over BWIN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

BWIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: −$84,000Q1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $39M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $70MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: −$73MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $32MQ4 2025: −$84,000Q1 2026: −$19MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$39.2M+22%
Q2 2026$30.4M+$58.5M
Q1 2026-$18.7M+$54.2M
Q4 2025-$84K-102%
Q3 2025$32.2M+$40.2M
Q2 2025-$28.1M-140%
Q1 2025-$72.9M-$67.7M
Q4 2024$4.3M-71%

BWIN's free cash flow was $51M over the past year, against −$65M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWIN.

HOOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $960MQ1 2024: −$623MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: −$1.4BQ1 2025: $642MQ2 2025: $3.5BQ3 2025: −$1.6BQ4 2025: −$937MQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+$2.8B
Q2 2026$720M-79%
Q1 2026$2B+217%
Q4 2025-$937M+$463M
Q3 2025-$1.6B-187%
Q2 2025$3.5B+6398%
Q1 2025$642M+$1.3B
Q4 2024-$1.4B-246%

HOOD has the edge over BWIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 93M
Q4 2023: 60MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 64MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 69MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 93M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+168K shares
1 year+35%+24.3M shares
3 years+53%+32.4M shares
5 years+100%+46.5M shares
Available history+368%+73.1M shares

BWIN has 93M diluted shares, up 35% from a year ago.

HOOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
Q4 2023: 891MQ1 2024: 896MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 906MQ4 2024: 906MQ1 2025: 909MQ2 2025: 909MQ3 2025: 918MQ4 2025: 919MQ1 2026: 915MQ2 2026: 912MQ3 2026: 911M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1M shares
1 year-0.8%-6.9M shares
3 years+1.8%+15.9M shares
5 years+292%+679M shares
Available history+7.2%+60.8M shares

HOOD has the edge over BWIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BWIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 21.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 7.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: 21.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.2xQ4 2024: 7.5xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 7.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20257.8xHigh
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20247.5xHigh

BWIN's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BWIN.

HOOD Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q1 2024: -22.9xQ2 2024: -12.0xQ3 2024: -7.6xQ4 2024: -3.8xQ1 2025: -3.3xQ2 2025: -2.6xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.9xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.8xNet Cash

HOOD has the edge over BWIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic86.7Overbought

BWIN's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

HOOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.8Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

BWIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

BWIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHOODSector medianRelative
PE38x13x189% above
PE %226644 pts below

HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BWIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.90.4% above
20 week MA$30.45.4% above
50 week MA$25.426% above
100 week MA$30.93.6% above
200 week MA$30.74.3% above

BWIN has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

HOOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$97.817% below
20 week MA$102.220% below
50 week MA$95.415% below
100 week MA$88.58.1% below
200 week MA$52.156% above

HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.

BWIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$30.3+94%
2021$30.3$34.8+15%
2022$34.8$26.0-25%
2023$26.0$24.0-7.5%
2024$24.0$38.8+62%
2025$38.8$25.6-34%
2026 YTD$25.6$32.0+25%

BWIN has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HOOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$35.2$18.9-46%
2022$18.9$7.95-58%
2023$7.95$12.7+60%
2024$12.7$39.0+206%
2025$39.0$118.1+203%
2026 YTD$118.1$81.4-31%

HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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