BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
BWA has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BWA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
BWA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $50.99 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $25.48 | -50% |
| Fair | 13x | $31.93 | -37% |
| Current | 21x | $50.99 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $71.22 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BWA has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
BWA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect BWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BWA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.60 | +135% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.38 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.03 | +101% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.72 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | -82% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | -50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.50 | -44% |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
BWA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6B | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | -2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -2.4% |
BWA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.5% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.7% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.9% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.7% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.2% | -17 points |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
BWA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $195M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $490M | -2.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $9M | +$46M |
| Q4 2025 | $457M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $257M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $502M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37M | +$271M |
| Q4 2024 | $521M | -23% |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.
BWA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -11.9M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -30.7M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -35.2M shares |
| Available history | -1.1% | -2.2M shares |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $175M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $298M |
| Q3 2025 | $102M |
| Q2 2025 | $108M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
BWA spent $723M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
BWA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
BWA's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over BWA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BWA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 71 | 47 | 24 pts above |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
BWA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.0 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.7 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.3 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $46.8 | 8.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.9 | 22% above |
BWA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over BWA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BWA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.5 | $34.3 | -11% |
| 2021 | $34.3 | $38.4 | +12% |
| 2022 | $38.4 | $35.2 | -8.3% |
| 2023 | $35.2 | $35.9 | +1.9% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $32.2 | -10% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $45.6 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $51.0 | +12% |
BWA has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.