BWA

BorgWarner Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWA's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 21x earnings, above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

BWA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

BWA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$50.99—
Cheap11x$25.48-50%
Fair13x$31.93-37%
Current21x$50.99—
Expensive30x$71.22+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWA's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BWA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

BWA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$64.81
Downside-13%$44.26

Calculated from the latest close: $50.99 on Nov 12.

BWA's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +27% against −13%.

BWA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.60+135%
Q3 2026$2.38+240%
Q2 2026$2.03+101%
Q1 2026$1.72+30%
Q4 2025$1.28-15%
Q3 2025$0.70-82%
Q2 2025$1.01-68%
Q1 2025$1.32-50%
Q4 2024$1.50-44%

BWA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.38 over the past year, against $4.08 in early 2023.

BWA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.5B-2.9%
Q2 2026$3.6B+0.3%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.5%
Q4 2025$3.6B+3.9%
Q3 2025$3.6B+4.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B+1%
Q1 2025$3.5B-2.2%
Q4 2024$3.4B-2.4%

BWA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$195M-24%
Q2 2026$490M-2.4%
Q1 2026$9M+$46M
Q4 2025$457M-12%
Q3 2025$257M+28%
Q2 2025$502M+69%
Q1 2025-$37M+$271M
Q4 2024$521M-23%

BWA generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.4% from the year before.

BWA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.7M shares
1 year-5.5%-11.9M shares
3 years-13%-30.7M shares
5 years-15%-35.2M shares
Available history-1.1%-2.2M shares

BWA has 205M diluted shares, down 5.5% from a year ago, with $723M in buybacks over the past year.

BWA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy
Q2 20241.4xHealthy
Q1 20241.5xHealthy
Q4 20231.2xHealthy
Q3 20231.4xHealthy

BWA's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

BWA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBWASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %714724 pts above

BWA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BWA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.08.9% below
20 week MA$61.717% below
50 week MA$58.313% below
100 week MA$46.88.9% above
200 week MA$41.922% above

BWA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.

BWA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.5$34.3-11%
2021$34.3$38.4+12%
2022$38.4$35.2-8.3%
2023$35.2$35.9+1.9%
2024$35.9$32.2-10%
2025$32.2$45.6+42%
2026 YTD$45.6$51.0+12%

BWA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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