BWA
BorgWarner Inc.
BWA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over BWA overall, supported by stronger valuation.
BWA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BWA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $50.99 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $25.48 | -50% |
| Fair | 13x | $31.93 | -37% |
| Current | 21x | $50.99 | — |
| Expensive | 30x | $71.22 | +40% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BWA's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over BWA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
BWA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
BWA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BWA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.60 | +135% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.38 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.03 | +101% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.72 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | -15% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.70 | -82% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.01 | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | -50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.50 | -44% |
BWA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.38 over the past year, against $4.08 in early 2023.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
BWA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.5B | -2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B | +0.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.6B | +3.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6B | +4.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | +1% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.5B | -2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.4B | -2.4% |
BWA has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.7% | +1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.5% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.7% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.9% | -0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 7.9% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.7% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.2% | -17 points |
BWA has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
BWA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $195M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $490M | -2.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $9M | +$46M |
| Q4 2025 | $457M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $257M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $502M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | -$37M | +$271M |
| Q4 2024 | $521M | -23% |
BWA has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
BWA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -5.5% | -11.9M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -30.7M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -35.2M shares |
| Available history | -1.1% | -2.2M shares |
BWA has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $175M |
| Q2 2026 | $100M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $298M |
| Q3 2025 | $102M |
| Q2 2025 | $108M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
BWA spent $723M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
BWA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2024 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2023 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
BWA's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over BWA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BWA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.4 | Oversold |
BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | BWA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 19% above |
| PE % | 71 | 47 | 24 pts above |
BWA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over BWA on valuation relative to its sector.
BWA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $56.0 | 8.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $61.7 | 17% below |
| 50 week MA | $58.3 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $46.8 | 8.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $41.9 | 22% above |
BWA has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
BWA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.5 | $34.3 | -11% |
| 2021 | $34.3 | $38.4 | +12% |
| 2022 | $38.4 | $35.2 | -8.3% |
| 2023 | $35.2 | $35.9 | +1.9% |
| 2024 | $35.9 | $32.2 | -10% |
| 2025 | $32.2 | $45.6 | +42% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $51.0 | +12% |
BWA has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.