BWA

BorgWarner Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWA has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BWA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

BWA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$50.99—
Cheap11x$25.48-50%
Fair13x$31.93-37%
Current21x$50.99—
Expensive30x$71.22+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWA's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BWA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$64.81
Downside-13%$44.26

Calculated from the latest close: $50.99 on Nov 12.

BWA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails BWA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BWA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.60+135%
Q3 2026$2.38+240%
Q2 2026$2.03+101%
Q1 2026$1.72+30%
Q4 2025$1.28-15%
Q3 2025$0.70-82%
Q2 2025$1.01-68%
Q1 2025$1.32-50%
Q4 2024$1.50-44%

BWA has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BWA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.5B-2.9%
Q2 2026$3.6B+0.3%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.5%
Q4 2025$3.6B+3.9%
Q3 2025$3.6B+4.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B+1%
Q1 2025$3.5B-2.2%
Q4 2024$3.4B-2.4%

BWA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

BWA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$195M-24%
Q2 2026$490M-2.4%
Q1 2026$9M+$46M
Q4 2025$457M-12%
Q3 2025$257M+28%
Q2 2025$502M+69%
Q1 2025-$37M+$271M
Q4 2024$521M-23%

BWA generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.4% from the year before.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over BWA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.7M shares
1 year-5.5%-11.9M shares
3 years-13%-30.7M shares
5 years-15%-35.2M shares
Available history-1.1%-2.2M shares

BWA has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

BWA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy
Q2 20241.4xHealthy
Q1 20241.5xHealthy
Q4 20231.2xHealthy
Q3 20231.4xHealthy

BWA's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.4 years a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over BWA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BWA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBWASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %714724 pts above

BWA is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BWA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.08.9% below
20 week MA$61.717% below
50 week MA$58.313% below
100 week MA$46.88.9% above
200 week MA$41.922% above

BWA has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

BWA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.5$34.3-11%
2021$34.3$38.4+12%
2022$38.4$35.2-8.3%
2023$35.2$35.9+1.9%
2024$35.9$32.2-10%
2025$32.2$45.6+42%
2026 YTD$45.6$51.0+12%

BWA has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

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