BWA

BorgWarner Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BWA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

EBAY

eBay Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EBAY has a slight edge over BWA overall on the model score.

BWA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

BWA's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

EBAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

BWA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x78x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$50.99—
Cheap11x$25.48-50%
Fair13x$31.93-37%
Current21x$50.99—
Expensive30x$71.22+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BWA has the edge over EBAY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EBAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x61x92x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$31.50-74%
Fair16x$71.96-40%
Forward18x$120—
Expensive22x$99.04-18%
Current26x$120—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

BWA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect BWA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

EBAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.

BWA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$64.81
Downside-13%$44.26

Calculated from the latest close: $50.99 on Nov 12.

BWA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EBAY, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EBAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$142.26
Downside-17%$100.06

Calculated from the latest close: $120.14 on Nov 12.

EBAY trails BWA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BWA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
Q4 2023: $2.67Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $1.50Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.01Q3 2025: $0.70Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.72Q2 2026: $2.03Q3 2026: $2.38Forward: $5.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.60+135%
Q3 2026$2.38+240%
Q2 2026$2.03+101%
Q1 2026$1.72+30%
Q4 2025$1.28-15%
Q3 2025$0.70-82%
Q2 2025$1.01-68%
Q1 2025$1.32-50%
Q4 2024$1.50-44%

BWA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.38 over the past year, against $4.08 in early 2023.

EBAY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
Q4 2023: $5.19Q1 2024: $4.99Q2 2024: $5.12Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.94Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $4.49Q3 2025: $4.55Q4 2025: $4.34Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.82Q3 2026: $4.57Forward: $6.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.63+45%
Q3 2026$4.57+0.4%
Q2 2026$4.82+7.3%
Q1 2026$4.40+6%
Q4 2025$4.34+10%
Q3 2025$4.55+15%
Q2 2025$4.49-12%
Q1 2025$4.15-17%
Q4 2024$3.94-24%

EBAY has the edge over BWA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.6BQ2 2024: $3.6BQ3 2024: $3.4BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.5B-2.9%
Q2 2026$3.6B+0.3%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.5%
Q4 2025$3.6B+3.9%
Q3 2025$3.6B+4.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B+1%
Q1 2025$3.5B-2.2%
Q4 2024$3.4B-2.4%

BWA's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.5B last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

EBAY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+14%
Q2 2026$3.1B+15%
Q1 2026$3.1B+19%
Q4 2025$3B+15%
Q3 2025$2.8B+9.5%
Q2 2025$2.7B+6.1%
Q1 2025$2.6B+1.1%
Q4 2024$2.6B+0.7%

EBAY has the edge over BWA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
Q4 2023: $679MQ1 2024: −$308MQ2 2024: $297MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: −$37MQ2 2025: $502MQ3 2025: $257MQ4 2025: $457MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $490MQ3 2026: $195M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$195M-24%
Q2 2026$490M-2.4%
Q1 2026$9M+$46M
Q4 2025$457M-12%
Q3 2025$257M+28%
Q2 2025$502M+69%
Q1 2025-$37M+$271M
Q4 2024$521M-23%

BWA generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, down 7.4% from the year before.

EBAY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $472MQ2 2024: $278MQ3 2024: $646MQ4 2024: $560MQ1 2025: $644MQ2 2025: −$441MQ3 2025: $803MQ4 2025: $466MQ1 2026: $897MQ2 2026: $300MQ3 2026: $749M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$749M-6.7%
Q2 2026$300M+$741M
Q1 2026$897M+39%
Q4 2025$466M-17%
Q3 2025$803M+24%
Q2 2025-$441M-259%
Q1 2025$644M+36%
Q4 2024$560M+$564M

EBAY has the edge over BWA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BWA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 234MQ1 2024: 228MQ2 2024: 227MQ3 2024: 225MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 218MQ2 2025: 218MQ3 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 216MQ1 2026: 208MQ2 2026: 206MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-1.7M shares
1 year-5.5%-11.9M shares
3 years-13%-30.7M shares
5 years-15%-35.2M shares
Available history-1.1%-2.2M shares

BWA has the edge over EBAY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

EBAY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 519MQ2 2024: 507MQ3 2024: 494MQ4 2024: 501MQ1 2025: 475MQ2 2025: 470MQ3 2025: 467MQ4 2025: 468MQ1 2026: 457MQ2 2026: 455MQ3 2026: 453M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-2M shares
1 year-3%-14M shares
3 years-15%-79M shares
5 years-31%-205M shares
Available history-44%-359M shares

EBAY has 453M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $2.1B in buybacks over the past year.

BWA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy
Q2 20241.4xHealthy
Q1 20241.5xHealthy
Q4 20231.2xHealthy
Q3 20231.4xHealthy

BWA has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EBAY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.

BWA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic8.4Oversold

BWA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

EBAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.9Neutral
Stochastic80.0Overbought

EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

BWA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricBWASector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %714724 pts above

BWA has the edge over EBAY on valuation relative to its sector.

EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEBAYSector medianRelative
PE26x18x46% above
PE %914744 pts above

EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

BWA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.08.9% below
20 week MA$61.717% below
50 week MA$58.313% below
100 week MA$46.88.9% above
200 week MA$41.922% above

BWA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.

EBAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$116.53.1% above
20 week MA$112.46.9% above
50 week MA$102.617% above
100 week MA$89.834% above
200 week MA$69.573% above

EBAY has the edge over BWA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BWA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.5$34.3-11%
2021$34.3$38.4+12%
2022$38.4$35.2-8.3%
2023$35.2$35.9+1.9%
2024$35.9$32.2-10%
2025$32.2$45.6+42%
2026 YTD$45.6$51.0+12%

BWA has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

EBAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$50.1+39%
2021$50.1$64.9+29%
2022$64.9$40.2-38%
2023$40.2$43.6+8.6%
2024$43.6$62.8+44%
2025$62.8$85.2+36%
2026 YTD$85.2$120.1+41%

EBAY has the edge over BWA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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