BUSE

First Busey Corporation

64
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

BUSE has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BUSE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

BUSE's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BUSE.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

BUSE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x23x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$26.46-8.4%
Current11x$28.88—
Forward11x$28.88—
Fair12x$30.48+5.5%
Expensive14x$37.62+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BUSE has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

BUSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect BUSE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over BUSE on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

BUSE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$34.59
Downside-13%$25.16

Calculated from the latest close: $28.88 on Nov 12.

BUSE trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BUSE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BUSE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
Q4 2023: $2.18Q1 2024: $1.99Q2 2024: $1.94Q3 2024: $1.95Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.13Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.47Q1 2026: $2.43Q2 2026: $2.60Q3 2026: $2.63Forward: $2.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.64+0.3%
Q3 2026$2.63+127%
Q2 2026$2.60+130%
Q1 2026$2.43+125%
Q4 2025$1.47-26%
Q3 2025$1.16-41%
Q2 2025$1.13-42%
Q1 2025$1.08-46%
Q4 2024$1.98-9.2%

BUSE earned $2.63 per share over the past year, up 127% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over BUSE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BUSE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $76MQ2 2024: $82MQ3 2024: $118MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: $198MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $200MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$193.5M-1.4%
Q2 2026$196.7M-0.7%
Q1 2026$196.2M+57%
Q4 2025$200.2M+71%
Q3 2025$196.3M+66%
Q2 2025$198M+140%
Q1 2025$125M+65%
Q4 2024$116.8M+51%

BUSE's revenue is growing: $194M last quarter, down 1.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

BUSE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $69M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$69.3M+27%
Q2 2026$39.2M-15%
Q1 2026$49.1M+646%
Q4 2025$65.8M+31%
Q3 2025$54.5M-7.9%
Q2 2025$46.1M+75%
Q1 2025$6.6M-82%
Q4 2024$50.4M+16%

BUSE has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BUSE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 91MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 84M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.7M shares
1 year-7.2%-6.5M shares
3 years+49%+27.4M shares
5 years+47%+26.9M shares
Available history+52%+28.6M shares

BUSE has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

BUSE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -2.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -2.9xQ1 2025: -10.0xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: 0.0xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20260.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-10.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.9xNet Cash

BUSE has the edge over JPM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

BUSE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic9.4Oversold

BUSE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

BUSE PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBUSESector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %356328 pts below

BUSE has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

BUSE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.41.6% below
20 week MA$29.93.5% below
50 week MA$27.54.9% above
100 week MA$25.214% above
200 week MA$24.020% above

BUSE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 20% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over BUSE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BUSE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.6$21.4-22%
2021$21.4$27.0+26%
2022$27.0$25.0-7.4%
2023$25.0$24.8-0.7%
2024$24.8$23.7-4.4%
2025$23.7$24.4+2.9%
2026 YTD$24.4$28.9+18%

BUSE has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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